Arkansas vs Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-8, 11-5 SEC) hope to extend a three-game home win streak when they host the Texas Longhorns (18-11, 9-7 SEC) on March 4, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
• Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (70.9%)

Before you wager on Wednesday's Arkansas-Texas spread (Arkansas -7.5) or total (164.5 points), read the betting insights and trends below.

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Arkansas vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas has compiled a 19-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• Texas is 16-12-0 ATS this year.
• Arkansas covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 69.2% of the time. That's more often than Texas covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (50%).
• The Razorbacks have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (11-5-0) than they have in road tilts (5-4-0).
• The Longhorns' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (8-8-0). Away, it is .778 (7-2-0).
• Arkansas has 10 wins against the spread in 16 conference games this year.
• Texas has covered the spread nine times in 16 SEC games.

Arkansas vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas has won in 17, or 94.4%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Razorbacks have not lost in 11 games this year when favored by -334 or better on the moneyline.
• Texas is 5-7 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +265 or longer, the Longhorns have a 1-5 record (winning just 16.7% of their games).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arkansas has a 77% chance of pulling out a win.

Arkansas vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arkansas' +294 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 89.8 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 79.7 per outing (325th in college basketball).
• Darius Acuff Jr.'s team-leading 22 points per game ranks ninth in the country.
• Texas has a +256 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.8 points per game. It is putting up 84.3 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and is allowing 75.5 per outing to rank 230th in college basketball.
• Dailyn Swain is 109th in the country with a team-leading 17.7 points per game.
• The Razorbacks rank 171st in the country at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.7 their opponents average.
• Trevon Brazile tops the team with 7.1 rebounds per game (141st in college basketball action).
• The Longhorns win the rebound battle by 8.8 boards on average. They record 35.1 rebounds per game, 41st in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 26.3.
• Swain's 7.4 rebounds per game lead the Longhorns and rank 114th in the nation.
• Arkansas scores 108.8 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while allowing 96.6 points per 100 possessions (228th in college basketball).
• The Longhorns average 108.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (13th in college basketball), and give up 97.1 points per 100 possessions (238th in college basketball).

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