Arkansas vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 21

SEC play features the No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks (19-7, 9-4 SEC) at home against the Missouri Tigers (18-8, 8-5 SEC) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
• Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (82.4%)

Before you decide to wager on Arkansas-Missouri contest (in which Arkansas is a 9.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 160.5 points), below are some betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Arkansas vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas is 18-8-0 ATS this season.
• Missouri has compiled an 11-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Arkansas covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 70% of the time. That's more often than Missouri covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (33.3%).
• Against the spread, the Razorbacks have fared better at home, covering 10 times in 14 home games, and five times in eight road games.
• This season, the Tigers are 7-9-0 at home against the spread (.438 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
• Arkansas is 9-4-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• Missouri's SEC record against the spread is 6-7-0.

Arkansas vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas has come away with 15 wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Razorbacks have been a -521 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
• Missouri has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Missouri has gone 5-5 in those games.
• The Tigers have gone 1-2 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +385 or longer (33.3%).
• Arkansas has an implied victory probability of 83.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Arkansas vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison

• With 76.8 points scored per game and 71.4 points allowed last year, Arkansas was 95th in the country offensively and 156th defensively.
• Arkansas was 156th in the country in rebounds per game (32.4) and 257th in rebounds conceded (32.3) last year.
• Last season Arkansas was ranked 124th in college basketball in assists with 14.2 per game.
• Arkansas was 201st in the nation in turnovers per game (11.3) and 146th in turnovers forced (11.6) last year.
• Missouri was carried by its offense last year, as it ranked ninth-best in the country by putting up 83.6 points per game. It ranked 228th in college basketball in points allowed (73.6 per contest).
• Missouri ranked 234th in the nation with 31 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 70th with 29.5 rebounds allowed per contest.
• Missouri averaged 13.5 assists per game, which ranked them 184th in the nation.
• Last year Missouri averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (120th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 13.6 turnovers per contest (33rd-ranked).

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