Arkansas vs Mississippi State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 7

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-11, 3-6 SEC) will attempt to stop a three-game home losing streak when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks (16-6, 6-3 SEC) on February 7, 2026 at Humphrey Coliseum.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 7, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (74.3%)

Arkansas is a 6.5-point favorite against Mississippi State on Saturday and the over/under is set at 163.5 points. Here's some betting trends and insights if you plan to place a wager on the contest.

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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas has compiled a 14-8-0 record against the spread this season.
• Mississippi State has compiled an 8-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Mississippi State is 3-3 against the spread compared to the 7-4 ATS record Arkansas racks up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• The Razorbacks have done a better job covering the spread in home games (9-4-0) than they have in road affairs (2-3-0).
• Against the spread, the Bulldogs have had better results on the road (4-2-0) than at home (3-8-0).
• Arkansas has beaten the spread five times in nine conference games.
• Mississippi State has covered the spread four times in nine SEC games.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (92.3%) in those games.
• The Razorbacks have a win-loss record of 8-1 when favored by -300 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Mississippi State has won two of the eight games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (25%).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +240 or longer, the Bulldogs have gone 2-4 (33.3%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arkansas has a 75% chance of walking away with the win.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arkansas outscores opponents by 11.1 points per game (scoring 88.7 per game to rank 13th in college basketball while giving up 77.6 per outing to rank 273rd in college basketball) and has a +245 scoring differential overall.
• Darius Acuff Jr.'s team-leading 20.3 points per game ranks 25th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State puts up 77.8 points per game (148th in college basketball) while allowing 78.2 per outing (294th in college basketball). It has a -8 scoring differential.
• Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State, recording 20.8 points per game (19th in college basketball).
• The Razorbacks are 176th in the nation at 32.4 rebounds per game. That's 1.3 more than the 31.1 their opponents average.
• Trevon Brazile averages 6.9 rebounds per game (ranking 173rd in college basketball) to lead the Razorbacks.
• The Bulldogs win the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. They record 37.3 rebounds per game, 20th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 34.8.
• Quincy Ballard tops the team with 6.6 rebounds per game (202nd in college basketball).
• Arkansas ranks 16th in college basketball by averaging 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 197th in college basketball, allowing 94.8 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bulldogs average 94.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (247th in college basketball), and concede 94.8 points per 100 possessions (197th in college basketball).

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