ACC Tournament Betting Picks: Tuesday 3/12/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33

We are inching closer to the NCAA Tournament, but the highly-anticipated college basketball festivities are set to get going this week with the commencement of conference tournament play.

The ACC Tournament tips off this Tuesday, March 12th, and it should serve as a perfect precursor for the intriguing month of basketball ahead.

Our Skyler Carlin broke down the ACC Tournament odds in full, including the bracket, odds, and top contenders to win the coveted conference.

Using the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, let's take a look at the best bets for Tuesday's first round, which features a three-game slate and will be held at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

All NCAA basketball odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

ACC Tournament Betting Picks

#13 Georgia Tech vs. #12 Notre Dame, 2:00 p.m. ET

Georgia Tech Moneyline (+100)

The first game of the ACC Tournament situates the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Notre Dame went 2-0 against Georgia Tech during the regular season, winning by seven and three points in the two games. But this go around, the tide could turn for the Yellow Jackets.

Per Bart Torvik's power ratings, Georgia Tech sits at the 124th spot. The team ranks 136th in adjusted offensive efficiency and fares similarly on the opposite end of the court, coming in at 140th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Notre Dame, meanwhile, ranks 131st on Bart Torvik's power rating scale. Their 257th rank in adjusted offensive efficiency proves this team has little bite on offense. However, they tout the 29th-best adjusted defensive efficiency rating.

Despite their defensive laurels, Notre Dame still managed a treacherous 12-19 record this season. This speaks volumes about the Fighting Irish's offense, which features just one player who averages double digits in the points column (Markus Burton; 17.3 points per game).

Burton shoulders the offensive workload for Notre Dame, but in a game that is projected to come down to the wire (1.5-point spread), I don't know how comfortable I would feel backing a star guard who shoots the three-ball at a disappointing 29.7% clip.

And while Braeden Shrewsberry (team-best 36.7% three-point percentage) is typically a downtown threat, he has struggled with a 22.7% three-point percentage (3P%) across his last four games.

Three players on Georgia Tech -- all of whom average at least 20.0 minutes per game -- tout a 3P% of 36.4% or better. This doesn't include Miles Kelly, who leads Georgia Tech's scoring efforts, averaging 14.1 points per game.

The Yellow Jackets have much more to show for their offense than Notre Dame does. The tournament nature of this game should see both sides exhausting all defensive efforts, which might mean Notre Dame's main strength could be matched at a higher degree than normal.

#15 Louisville at #10 NC State, 4:30 p.m. ET

NC State -8.5 (-120)

Tuesday's second matchup features a clash between the Louisville Cardinals and the NC State Wolfpack.

Led by DJ Horne (16.8 points per game), the Wolfpack's 65th-best adjusted offensive efficiency status has led them to a 17-14 record. They rank a respectable 79th on Bart Torvik's power ratings and have kept games competitive against the big dogs in the ACC, including wins over Clemson and Wake Forest.

It's hard to find a highlight from Louisville's season. They rank 217th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 213th in adjusted defensive efficiency, leaving the Cardinals at the 209th spot in Bart Torvik's power ratings.

The Cardinals serve as the ACC's punching bag, going 3-17 in conference play this season.

Although NC State's 89-83 win over Louisville earlier this season was not a resounding victory, the Cardinals were rocking with a 53.3 3P% in that one, which kept things close. On the season, Louisville shoots the three-ball at a 29.8% clip, so they do not seem primed to put up well-above-average three-point numbers once again.

Bart Torvik projects this game to end with an 81-71 NC State victory. I want to be on the Wolfpack's side in this one, and it seems backing a cover is the best move.

I should note that Horne exited this past Saturday's game early due to a lower extremity injury. Jayden Taylor put up 29 points in Horne's absence, proving that NC State has depth. This afternoon, Horne participated in on-court team activities, so it seems his playing status is trending in the right direction.

With that being said, the loss of Horne could be huge, so I'd hold out for confirmation on his status before siding with an NC State cover.

#14 Miami at #11 Boston College, 7:00 p.m. ET

Over 148.5 (-110)

The first round of the ACC Tournament will wrap up with a game that pits the Boston College Eagles against the Miami Hurricanes.

This matchup is as close to a pick'em as we will see on Tuesday, with Boston College's moneyline sitting at -102 and Miami's at -118.

In a game that seems primed to come down to the wire, it seems apt to target a high-scoring contest.

Both of these teams feature pretty solid offenses. Boston College ranks 89th in adjusted offensive efficiency while Miami is hardly behind them at the 93rd spot.

Four starters on each team average at least 10.4 points per game, with Quinten Post (16.6 points per game) leading the charge for BC and Norchad Omier (17.0 points per game) pacing the Hurricanes.

Further, we've got a pair of solid three-point shooting teams in this matchup. Miami shoots the three-ball at a 36.6% clip (fourth-best in ACC) while BC shoots it at a 36.4% clip (fifth-best in ACC).

Add in a close spread -- which could see these teams trading baskets and bonus free-throw attempts in the late minutes of this game -- and I think we're in for a heftier game total than the market predicts.

If you’re betting on any NCAAB action before Selection Sunday on March 17th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s College Basketball Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.