3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 3/29/24

Annie Nader•@ANader33

1mo

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Draymond Green Over 22.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-113)

Draymond Green was at it again on Wednesday.

After receiving a pair of technical fouls mere minutes into the game, Green was ejected for the fourth time this season, a new career high for him.

Following Green's boot, emotions ran high for a trying Golden State Warriors, but they pulled off a key win.

Now they'll go visit the Charlotte Hornets, and I'm expecting a big comeback performance from Green.

If we check out games where Green has played at least 24 minutes, he is surpassing 22.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) at a 65.7% rate. These -113 odds imply just a 53.1% probability.

Add in a friendly matchup and performance motivation factors, and I'm happy to get Green in this spot.

The Hornets let up the 10th-most points, 3rd-most rebounds, and 4th-most assists per game.

Charlotte struggles with the league's third-worst defense. They surrender the eighth-most paint points and the fifth-most three-point makes (3PM) per game.

Green nets a combined 86.0% of his points in the paint or from behind the arc, so it seems he is in a nice spot to score.

He's in a great spot to dish out some dimes, too. We know the Warriors have a ton of three-point shooters, so we should expect them to get up plenty of shots against a poor three-point defense.

Green, meanwhile, averages the second-most assists on Golden State and is going up against a Charlotte team that lets up a league-high amount of assists to power forwards.

FanDuel Research's projections anticipate Green to net 23.9 PRA in this one.

LeBron James Over 16.5 Reb + Ast (+100)

Two of the fastest teams in the league -- the Los Angeles Lakers (fourth in pace) and Indiana Pacers (second in pace) -- will square off tonight.

With a slate-high 243.5 over/under, this is easily the juiciest game on tap for today. LeBron James' combined rebounds and assists (RA) prop could be a worthy target.

On the season, LeBron is averaging 15.4 RA, but his production shoots up in fast-paced games.

LeBron has played in 22 contests against teams that rank in the top 12 of pace. In this split, he is averaging 17.4 RA.

If we take out a pair of games where he played less than 30 minutes, he is averaging 17.8 RA and cleared 16.5 RA in 12 out of 20 games.

The pace, and Indiana's sixth-worst defense, puts LeBron in a great spot to produce. But let's turn back to that 243.5 over/under scheduled for this game.

LeBron has played in 22 games that tipped off with a 235.0 over/under or higher. In this split, he is averaging 17.5 RA. He's played in only four games that featured a 243.5 over/under or higher, but the results saw LeBron averaging 19.6 RA in this split. I'll take the even-money odds.

Spencer Dinwiddie Over 5.5 Points (-142)

I'm sticking with the Lakers since Spencer Dinwiddie's points prop seems too low.

Dinwiddie went up against Indiana this past Sunday and scored 26 points. D'Angelo Russell did not play in this game, which moved Dinwiddie into the starting lineup.

Russell's absence obviously had a huge impact on Dinwiddie's production. Russell scores 18.2 points per game off 32.4 minutes, so it seems Dinwiddie replicated this role on Sunday.

He will not have the same role tonight, but I'd still be pretty surprised if he didn't score at least six points in this one.

Across his last six games, Dinwiddie is averaging 11.3 points off 27.6 minutes. He scored over 5.5 points in five out of six of these games. Even if we take out that game where Russell was sidelined, Dinwiddie still played 26.2 minutes and averaged 8.4 points across five games.

We should expect him to play at least 20 minutes in this one, which is more than enough time for him to score six points against a team like Indiana.

The Pacers allow opposing guards to score the second-most points per 36 minutes, as evidenced by Dinwiddie's 26-point night this past weekend.

Los Angeles isn't short on starting scorers who can contribute to tonight's 243.5 over/under, but Dinwiddie has become one of their main bench players. He typically subs in for Russell roughly seven minutes into the first quarter.

His solid 38.6% three-point percentage has him averaging 2.25 3PM across his last four games. A pair of threes would get the job done, so I love him in this spot.

Our projections expect Dinwiddie to score 9.1 points off 21.64 minutes against Indiana this evening.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.