3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Tuesday 3/12/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Tuesday 3/12/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Rhode Island Rams, 4:30 p.m. EST

Gibson Jimerson To Make 3+ Threes (-102)

The first round of the Atlantic 10 (A10) Tournament is a tripleheader, which is capped by Saint Louis against Rhode Island. Both teams are extreme longshots to win the tournament at +25000 when looking at FanDuel's college basketball odds.

While each squad is likely headed for early exits in the A10 Tournament, that doesn't mean there is no value here. Saint Louis' sharpshooters feature enticing props for Tuesday's first-round collision. Rhode Island ranks in the bottom 17% in three-point makes and attempts allowed per game and the bottom 10% in opponent three-point percentage.

The Billikens attempt only 21.4 threes per contest (bottom 43%), but when given looks, Saint Louis makes opponents pay with a 37.0% three-point percentage (92nd percentile). Gibson Jimerson -- who totals 15.3 points per game (PPG) -- leads the attack with a team-high 202 three-point shots on the season. He also touts a 37.1% three-point percentage and has made 15 of his last 33 attempts (45.5%).

Jimerson has reached at least three made threes in five consecutive games. The 6-foot-5 guard ranks second on the team with 54.7% of his shot attempts taking place from beyond the arc. This is setting up for another solid performance for Jimerson, who is averaging 22.5 PPG over his past four contests.

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels, 9 p.m. EST

Graham Ike Over 16.5 Points (-105)

Gonzaga and Saint Mary's continue to be the cream of the crop in the West Coast Conference (WCC). Since 1999, the Bulldogs have won 20 WCC Tournaments and have won 4 straight. The Gaels are chasing their first tournament title since 2019. The two teams are meeting in the final yet again, which will be the 12th time over the past 16 tournaments.

The Zags are favored (-172) to win yet another WCC Tournament tonight, and it's for good reason when you dive into the stats. The Bulldogs have pulled no punches about their intentions on offense this season. They look to relentlessly attack the rim, totaling 42.7 two-pointer attempts per game (93rd percentile) compared to 19.6 three-point shots each game (bottom 24%). When attempting close twos, Gonzaga makes 70.0% of the shots (99th percentile).

As usual, Saint Mary's still features a sound defense (KenPom's 16th-best adjusted defensive efficiency). However, the Gaels give up 37.2 two-point shots per game (bottom 43%). Opponents shoot a measly 42.6% on twos (99th percentile for defense) against Saint Mary's, but this didn't slow the Bulldogs in the previous matchup.

Gonzaga shot 51.7% from the field while totaling 42 points in the paint. Graham Ike (16.7 PPG) was the star of the show with 24 points. Targeting Ike's point prop could yield success as 48.0% of his shots take place at the rim (first among starters), and he converts 72.4% of these attempts.

Ike has reached 20 points in seven of his last eight games. His spike in production has been a huge reason for the Bulldogs' sudden rise ahead of the NCAA Tournament. I expect Ike to leave his mark on this matchup yet again.

Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits, 9:30 p.m. EST

William Kyle Over 13.5 Points (-115)

Since 2016, South Dakota State has emerged as a dominant force in the Summit League, winning four of the last eight tournaments. The Jackrabbits are 9.5-point favorites for tonight's championship game and are looking to win their first tournament since 2022.

Tonight's opponent -- the Denver Pioneers -- have gone on an unexpected run in the tournament as a No. 7 seed. With a win, this would be Denver's first Summit League Tournament title and first NCAA Tournament berth in program history. This is easier said than done, though, as the Pioneers are notable underdogs and rank 266th in KenPom while South Dakota State is 137th.

Denver's defense (352nd in efficiency) looks like a major concern; the Jackrabbits rank in the top 100 in PPG (75th percentile) and sit in the top 7% with a 48.3% field goal percentage (FG%). The Pioneers especially struggle to defend the rim, sitting in the bottom 15% in two-point makes and attempts allowed per game and in opponent two-point percentage. Opponents also shoot 62.5% on close twos, which is in the bottom 12% nationally.

All signs are pointing to a big game for one of South Dakota State's best paint scorers. Look no further than William Kyle (13.0 PPG), who leads the team with 67.7% of his shots taking place at the rim. Kyle has attempted one three all season and lives in the painted area. He's reached 15 points in 5 of his last 10 games. I expect Kyle to deliver a memorable performance against Denver's weak interior defense.

If you’re betting on any NCAAB action before Selection Sunday on March 17th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s College Basketball Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.