WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Tuesday 7/2/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Tuesday 7/2/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream

Sky Moneyline (-110)

The Atlanta Dream (7-10) will host the Chicago Sky (6-11) this evening, and I have faith that the Sky can slip away with a road victory.

Chicago's -2.5 net rating is not great but is aided by the fifth-best defense in the league. Meanwhile, Atlanta's -5.8 net rating is exacerbated by the worst offense in the WNBA. The Dream have gone 2-6 against teams that fare in the top half of defense.

Even more pressing? Rhyne Howard is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Howard, an All-Star selection in each of her two seasons in the league, averages 15.4 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 3.4 assists. In the four games since she has been out, Atlanta has been rocked with an abysmal -11.7 net rating.

The offense isn't there for the Dream, and an inefficient shooting night from Allisha Gray could put the kibosh on Atlanta's chances.

Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso have proven to be great first-round draft selections for Chicago and shouldn't run into much trouble battling Tina Charles down low. Chennedy Carter has been contributing 18.5 points in five games since joining the Sky's starting lineup.

Chicago's solid defense should manage to maintain a struggling Dream offense, and it doesn't hurt that the Sky are coming into this one amid an offensive upswing.

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces

Fever +13.5 (-108)

The Las Vegas Aces (10-6) have won four straight games by double-digits since Chelsea Gray returned from injury. They'll now get to attack an at-times-suspect Indiana Fever (8-12) group, but even still, I'm down to back Caitlin Clark and company when handed this many points.

Vegas owns the second-best offense and third-best defense -- good for the third-best net rating -- since Gray's return. The reigning back-to-back champs look ready to put their early-season struggles to the wayside now that their core four is intact.

But there's something to be said for Indiana's improvements, too. In the last three weeks of play, Indiana's +5.4 net rating (fifth) ranks just a spot behind Vegas' +7.5 net rating.

Indiana's transition offense could be what keeps them in this game -- or at least within 13 points. The Clark-to-Aliyah Boston connection is realizing its potential, helping the team capitalize on turnovers and hone in on quality shots.

Boston is averaging 17.7 points in her last seven games while Clark has contributed 8.6 assists per night in that span. I don't think it is a coincidence that Indiana has gone 5-2 ever since they placed intense offensive priority on the pair of No. 1 overall draft picks.

Despite their dominance, Vegas has won just three games by more than 12 points this season. They should manage to take care of business and get the victory tonight, but Indiana has become a more clear-cut and focused offense now that Clark has 20 games under her belt. I'll bite on the Fever to keep this one within 13 points.

Aliyah Boston Over 13.5 Points (-125)

Boston's early season struggles were met with scrutiny, but the reigning Rookie of the Year seems to have shaken off the sophomore slump.

As mentioned, she is averaging 17.7 points across her last seven games, and the connection with Clark is here to stay.

Boston has scored more than 13.5 points in six of her last eight games and could see a shot volume bump against the Aces, who run at the fastest pace in the league.

Last year, Boston cleared 13.5 points in 60.0% of games in which she played at least 25 minutes. These -125 odds imply a 55.5% probability.

Vegas is much more of an overpowering offense than they are a limiting defense, surrendering 84.1 points (fifth-most) per game. Boston has played in 11 games against teams that ceded at least 80 points per game. In this split, she is averaging 16.3 points and exceeded 13.5 points in 7 out of 11 games. I'll trail that trend tonight.

Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks

Dearica Hamby Over 27.5 Pts + Reb (-104)

Dearica Hamby is averaging 28.7 combined points and rebounds (PR) for the Los Angeles Sparks (4-14).

She has eclipsed 27.5 PR in 10 out of 18 games and notched at least 27.0 PR in 14 out of 18 games.

Heading into a matchup against the Washington Mystics (4-15), I don't think we'll get burnt by the hook tonight.

With Shakira Austin out and starter Karlie Samuelson joining her on the injury report, Washington doesn't have much of a paint presence. Hamby has been leveraging her size for the better all season and could feast against a Mystics team that grants the second-most rebounds to opposing bigs per 36 minutes. In one meeting with Washington this season, Hamby notched 35 PR.

There's something to be said for this 2.0-point spread, too. As the leading scorer and rebounder for LA, Hamby will be key for the Sparks to make good on their -134 moneyline odds. She is averaging 35.2 minutes per game (fourth-most in WNBA) and could get near that average in what should be a close game.

Luckily, Hamby has recorded at least 27.0 PR in 12 out of 13 games where she logged at least 33 minutes.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.