WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Sunday 6/30/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props for Sunday 6/30/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty

Liberty Under 90.5 Points (-113)

Astoundingly, the New York Liberty have topped 89 points and hit the over on their team total in seven straight games. This is a spot to fade that trend.

Hitting the over on a team total requires plenty of moving parts. First, the team in question has to be efficient, and that's less surprising for the squad with the WNBA's best oRTG (108.9). However, the opposing Atlanta Dream might be underrated on the defensive end in this matchup, entering with a competitive 100.9 dRTG despite a 7-9 record. They also play at the third-slowest pace (95.8) in the league to help limit points.

Then, there's the secondary component of the game staying competitive to keep efficient starters in the game andf th. Each of New York's last seven have been decided by 13 points or fewer, but Atlanta's league-worst 95.1 oRTG figures to struggle to keep pace as a 14-point 'dog.

DRatings and Massey Ratings produce an average expected point total for the Liberty of just 87.9 points, so a contrarian dart at their scoring streak ending seems worth the wager.

Minnesota Lynx at Chicago Sky

Sky +6 (-110)
Angel Reese Over 11.5 Rebounds (-130)

Last we saw the Minnesota Lynx, there was a definite hangover from winning the $500,000 Commissioner's Cup. They lost to the 4-13 Dallas Wings on Thursday. It could continue in a rough spot here.

Points could be hard to come by in this matchup of top-five dRTGs, so I'll take six of them with the Chicago Sky at home. Minnesota's gaudy net rating at home (+12.2) at least dips to +10.8 when away from Target Center.

The Sky's brutal -4.7 net rating at home might be entirely related to schedule. They've already drawn Las Vegas, Seattle, New York, and Connecticut (x2) in their building and are 4-1 against everyone else.

DRatings (5.7) and Massey (4.9) have this spread a bit smaller than six, so there's a bit of value in this line. Chicago could always get timely putbacks on the Lynx, who allow the most rebounds per game in the W (36.5).

If rebounds are the name of the game, Angel Reese will probably be a factor. With condolences to fans of the top pick in 2024, Reese has been indisputably the WNBA's top rookie at 15.9 points and 13.1 rebounds per 36 minutes. Her 5.6 offensive boards per 36 lead all qualifying players.

On Sunday, Rotowire projects 12.3 rebounds from Reese, who has met or eclipsed 11 rebounds in nine straight. She'll -- at worst -- be sniffing this line in an elite matchup.

Indiana Fever at Phoenix Mercury

Over 172.5 (-112)
Kelsey Mitchell 3+ Threes Made (+116)

Since Brittney Griner's return on June 7th, no team has been more prone to shootouts than the Phoenix Mercury.

In that time, Phoenix is second in the WNBA in scoring (89.7 PPG), and they're allowing 85.0 PPG (fifth-highest in the league). They've posted an over in five of these seven games.

Enter the Indiana Fever, who have notoriously been the league's shootout club all season. Indiana allows the most points per contest (87.9) while Caitlin Clark has willed them to the league's sixth-highest scoring average (80.7).

DRatings and Massey combine to project 172.9 average median total points in this game, and the recent uptick since Griner's return -- especially considering Indiana's lack of size -- gets the nod from yours truly.

If points will be had in this contest, it's likely Indiana's come from behind the arc. The Mercury allow the most three-point attempts per game (27.9) in the WNBA.

While Clark's props are -- per usual -- juiced as bettors flock to support the phenom, I'm pivoting to Kelsey Mitchell. Mitchell is also a sniper, averaging 5.8 attempts from deep per game and converting a solid clip (39.1%) of them.

Rotowire has Mitchell projected for 2.8 makes from downtown in this elite matchup, so the plus chicken is incredibly appealing.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.