Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 2

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) are heavily favored (-13.5) to continue a three-game win streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors (18-16) at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, January 2, 2026 at Chase Center. The game airs on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. The over/under is set at 226.5 for the matchup.

Warriors vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction:

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 18 times this season (18-16-0).
• The Warriors have played 34 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• This season, 18 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the point total 20 times in 34 opportunities (58.8%).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 11 times in 19 opportunities at home, and it has covered seven times in 15 opportunities on the road.
• Looking at point totals, the Thunder hit the over less often at home, as they've eclipsed the total 10 times in 19 opportunities this season (52.6%). In away games, they have hit the over eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%).
• Against the spread, Golden State has been better at home (7-6-1) than away (8-12-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have finished over less frequently at home (eight of 14, 57.1%) than away (12 of 20, 60%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points, 6.4 assists and 4.7 boards.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.3 points, 1.6 assists and 8 boards.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points, 3.5 boards and 3.6 assists, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 34.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8 points, 2.3 assists and 3.1 boards.
• Jalen Williams averages 17.2 points, 5.3 boards and 5.6 assists, shooting 45.2% from the floor.

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.5 points, 4.4 boards and 3.2 assists. He is also sinking 46.6% of his shots from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• The Warriors receive 10.8 points per game from Moses Moody, plus 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
• Quinten Post's numbers on the season are 7.7 points, 4.1 boards and 1.4 assists per game. He is sinking 42.4% of his shots from the field and 34% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.5 triples.
• Will Richard averages 8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists. He is draining 53.2% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per game.
• Buddy Hield's numbers on the season are 7.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is draining 42.2% of his shots from the floor and 32.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.4 triples.

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