Virginia vs Wake Forest College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

The Virginia Cavaliers (25-4, 13-3 ACC) will host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (15-14, 6-10 ACC) after winning four straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Wake Forest Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Virginia vs. Wake Forest Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (91%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before placing a wager on Tuesday's Virginia-Wake Forest spread (Virginia -14.5) or over/under (148.5 points).

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Virginia vs. Wake Forest: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia has compiled a 15-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Wake Forest has put together a 12-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Virginia and Wake Forest cover the same percentage of spreads this year (50%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Tuesday's line (Cavaliers as favorites by 14.5 or more and Demon Deacons as underdogs by 14.5 or more).
• Against the spread, the Cavaliers have performed better when playing at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• Against the spread, the Demon Deacons have been better at home (7-10-0) than on the road (2-6-0).
• Virginia has covered the spread eight times in 16 conference games.
• Wake Forest is 6-10-0 against the spread in ACC action this season.

Virginia vs. Wake Forest: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has come away with 20 wins in the 23 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cavaliers have not lost in six games this year when favored by -1587 or better on the moneyline.
• Wake Forest has compiled a 2-11 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15.4% of those games).
• The Demon Deacons have played as a moneyline underdog of +860 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Virginia has a 94.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Virginia vs. Wake Forest Head-to-Head Comparison

• Virginia's +382 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.2 points per game (67th in college basketball) while giving up 68.1 per contest (42nd in college basketball).
• Thijs De Ridder's team-leading 16 points per game ranks 210th in the nation.
• Wake Forest's +60 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by two points per game) is a result of putting up 79.1 points per game (105th in college basketball) while giving up 77.1 per contest (267th in college basketball).
• Wake Forest's leading scorer, Juke Harris, is 12th in the country, putting up 21.4 points per game.
• The Cavaliers win the rebound battle by 8.1 boards on average. They record 37.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29 per contest.
• De Ridder is 255th in college basketball play with 6.2 rebounds per game to lead the Cavaliers.
• The Demon Deacons record 29.7 rebounds per game (299th in college basketball) while allowing 31.3 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.6 boards per game.
• Harris paces the team with 6.6 rebounds per game (205th in college basketball).
• Virginia averages 103.8 points per 100 possessions (54th in college basketball), while giving up 87 points per 100 possessions (28th in college basketball).
• The Demon Deacons average 99.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (124th in college basketball), and concede 97.3 points per 100 possessions (244th in college basketball).

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