Virginia vs North Carolina College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 24

The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-4, 3-3 ACC) will visit the Virginia Cavaliers (16-2, 5-1 ACC) after losing three road games in a row.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Game time: 12 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
- Arena: John Paul Jones Arena
Virginia vs. North Carolina Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Virginia win (77.5%)
Before you bet on Saturday's Virginia-North Carolina spread (Virginia -6.5) or over/under (150.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.
Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!
Virginia vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Virginia has covered 12 times in 18 matchups with a spread this season.
- North Carolina has covered nine times in 19 chances against the spread this season.
- North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than Virginia covers as a favorite of 6.5 or more (54.5%).
- At home, the Cavaliers sport a worse record against the spread (6-4-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (4-1-0).
- Against the spread, the Tar Heels have been better at home (7-5-0) than away (1-3-0).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Virginia is 5-1-0 this season.
- North Carolina has won once against the spread in ACC play this year.
Virginia vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Virginia has been victorious in 11, or 84.6%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- The Cavaliers have not lost in eight games this year when favored by -345 or better on the moneyline.
- North Carolina has won one of the three games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (33.3%).
- The Tar Heels have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +270 or longer.
- Virginia has an implied victory probability of 77.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison
- Virginia was the fifth-worst squad in college basketball in points scored (64.8 per game) and 39th in points conceded (66.8) last year.
- On the glass, Virginia was worst in the nation in rebounds (26.8 per game) last season. It was 104th in rebounds allowed (30.1 per game).
- Last season Virginia was ranked 93rd in college basketball in assists with 14.7 per game.
- Last season, Virginia was 25th-best in the nation in turnovers committed (9.3 per game) but 19th-worst in turnovers forced (9.2).
- With 80.7 points per game on offense, North Carolina was 29th in the nation last year. At the other end of the court, it ceded 74.7 points per contest, which ranked 261st in college basketball.
- North Carolina ranked 105th in the nation with 33.2 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 182nd with 31.2 rebounds allowed per game.
- Last year North Carolina ranked 93rd in college basketball in assists, putting up 14.7 per game.
- North Carolina averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (120th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 10.2 turnovers per contest (288th-ranked).
Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!



