UCF vs Cincinnati College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 11

The UCF Knights (12-2, 1-1 Big 12) hope to continue a 10-game home win streak when they host the Cincinnati Bearcats (8-7, 0-2 Big 12) on January 11, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Orlando, Florida
• Arena: Addition Financial Arena

UCF vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCF win (77.7%)

If you are planning on making a wager on UCF-Cincinnati contest (in which UCF is a 2.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 150.5 points), here are some betting insights and trends for Sunday's game.

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UCF vs. Cincinnati: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCF has compiled a 7-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Cincinnati has covered five times in 15 matchups with a spread this season.
• As a 2.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, UCF is 4-5 against the spread compared to the 1-3 ATS record Cincinnati racks up as a 2.5-point underdog.
• The Knights had a worse record against the spread when playing at home (7-11-0) than they did on the road (5-5-0) last season.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Bearcats had a lower winning percentage at home (.412, 7-10-0 record) than away (.538, 7-6-0).

UCF vs. Cincinnati: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCF has been listed as the moneyline favorite nine times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Knights have yet to lose in nine games when named as moneyline favorite of -150 or better.
• Cincinnati has lost all six of the games it has been the underdog on the moneyline this season.
• The Bearcats have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +125 or longer, and lost each game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UCF has a 60% chance of pulling out a win.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, UCF was the 43rd-ranked team in the nation (79.8 points per game) last season. On defense, it was 10th-worst (80.4 points allowed per game).
• Last season, UCF was 119th in college basketball in rebounds (33 per game) and 12th-worst in rebounds conceded (34.9).
• UCF was 148th in college basketball in assists (13.9 per game) last season.
• Last year, UCF was 254th in the nation in turnovers committed (11.9 per game) and 79th in turnovers forced (12.4).
• Last year Cincinnati averaged 71.2 points per game (255th-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 66.2 points per contest (33rd-ranked).
• Last season Cincinnati pulled down 32 rebounds per game (179th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 29.9 rebounds per contest (94th-ranked).
• Cincinnati dished out 13.9 dimes per game, which ranked them 148th in college basketball.
• With 9.7 turnovers per game, Cincinnati ranked 45th in the country. It forced 12.5 turnovers per contest, which ranked 74th in college basketball.

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