UCF vs Cincinnati College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 11

The UCF Knights (12-2, 1-1 Big 12) hope to continue a 10-game home win streak when they host the Cincinnati Bearcats (8-7, 0-2 Big 12) on January 11, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Orlando, Florida
• Arena: Addition Financial Arena

UCF vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UCF win (78.5%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Sunday's UCF-Cincinnati spread (UCF -3.5) or over/under (150.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

UCF vs. Cincinnati: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• UCF has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• Cincinnati is 5-10-0 ATS this year.
• UCF (4-5) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (44.4%) than Cincinnati (1-3) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (25%).
• Against the spread last season, the Knights fared worse when played at home, covering seven times in 18 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• Against the spread last year, the Bearcats had better results away (7-6-0) than at home (7-10-0).

UCF vs. Cincinnati: Moneyline Betting Stats

• UCF has been listed as the moneyline favorite nine times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Knights have been a -176 moneyline favorite on nine occasions this season and won every game.
• Cincinnati has been the underdog on the moneyline a total of six times this season, and it has lost each of those games.
• The Bearcats have not won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer in four chances.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCF has a 63.8% chance of walking away with the win.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Head-to-Head Comparison

• UCF outscores opponents by 11.1 points per game (scoring 86.9 per game to rank 32nd in college basketball while giving up 75.8 per contest to rank 243rd in college basketball) and has a +156 scoring differential overall.
• Riley Kugel paces UCF, putting up 14.1 points per game (384th in the country).
• Cincinnati has a +125 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.4 points per game. It is putting up 73.7 points per game, 258th in college basketball, and is giving up 65.3 per contest to rank 20th in college basketball.
• Baba is 580th in college basketball with a team-high 12.7 points per game.
• The Knights record 36.3 rebounds per game (48th in college basketball) while conceding 28.2 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
• Jamichael Stillwell's 8.4 rebounds per game lead the Knights and rank 57th in college basketball action.
• The Bearcats win the rebound battle by 4.4 boards on average. They record 36.5 rebounds per game, 41st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 32.1.
• Miller averages 10.9 rebounds per game (seventh in college basketball) to lead the Bearcats.
• UCF ranks 45th in college basketball by averaging 105.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 160th in college basketball, allowing 92 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bearcats rank 292nd in college basketball with 92.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th defensively with 81.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!