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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 28

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 28

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Coverage: KARE 11, DAZN-MIN, NBCS-BA, and PCK-GSW

The Golden State Warriors (1-3) are 3.5-point underdogs against the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1) at Target Center on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on KARE 11, DAZN-MIN, NBCS-BA, and PCK-GSW. The point total is 225.5 for the matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Favorite
Spread
Total
Favorite Moneyline
Underdog Moneyline
Timberwolves-3.5225.5-144+124

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (70.7%)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves won 38 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 44 times.
  • As 3.5-point underdogs or greater, the Warriors went 12-15 against the spread last season.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 37 times in Timberwolves games.
  • There were 49 Warriors games (out of 82) that hit the over last season.
  • Minnesota covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last year. Minnesota covered 18 times in 41 games when playing at home, and it covered 20 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
  • Golden State's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, was .415 last year. Golden State was 17-23-1 ATS on its home court and 17-24-0 on the road.

Timberwolves Leaders

  • LaMelo Ball collected 20.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 7.1 assists last season. He also drained 40.7% of his shots from the floor and 36.8% from 3-point range, with 3.8 triples per game (second in league).
  • Anthony Edwards' numbers last season were 28.8 points, 5 boards and 3.7 assists per game. He sank 48.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 3.4 treys (third in NBA).
  • Rudy Gobert posted 10.9 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He also sank 68.2% of his shots from the floor (first in league).
  • Donte DiVincenzo recorded 12.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He made 40.6% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per game.
  • Jaden McDaniels' stats last season included 14.8 points, 4.2 boards and 2.7 assists per game. He made 51.5% of his shots from the floor and 41.2% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.4 treys.

Warriors Leaders

  • Brandin Podziemski's numbers last season were 13.8 points, 5.1 boards and 3.7 assists per contest, shooting 45.5% from the field and 37.1% from downtown, with an average of 1.9 made 3-pointers.
  • Stephen Curry averaged 26.6 points, 4.7 assists and 3.6 rebounds.
  • Draymond Green posted 8.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists. Defensively, he posted 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
  • Brandon Williams collected 13 points, 2.9 boards and 3.9 assists, shooting 47.2% from the floor.
  • Jimmy Butler III's numbers last season were 20 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 51.9% from the field.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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