Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 6

Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Coverage: NBC/Peacock and FDSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13) play the Miami Heat (20-16) as 4.5-point favorites on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock and FDSN. The matchup has a point total of 238.5.
Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | -4.5 | 238.5 | -196 | +164 |
Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (63%)
Timberwolves vs. Heat Betting Trends
- The Timberwolves have gone 15-21-0 against the spread this season.
- Against the spread, the Heat are 21-14-1 this season.
- Games involving the Timberwolves have hit the over 17 times this season.
- Heat games this year have hit the over on 18 of 36 set point totals (50%).
- Against the spread, Minnesota has played worse when playing at home, covering seven times in 18 home games, and eight times in 18 road games.
- At home, the Timberwolves eclipse the total 33.3% of the time (six of 18 games). They hit the over more often in road games, eclipsing the total in 61.1% of games (11 of 18).
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Miami has a lower winning percentage at home (.579, 11-8-0 record) than on the road (.588, 10-6-1).
- In terms of the over/under, Heat games have finished over nine of 19 times at home (47.4%), and nine of 17 on the road (52.9%).
Timberwolves Leaders
- Julius Randle averages 22.3 points, 6.9 boards and 5.7 assists, shooting 49.0% from the field and 33.3% from downtown, with 1.6 made treys per game.
- Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.4 points, 3.7 assists and 5.0 boards.
- Rudy Gobert is averaging 11.3 points, 1.8 assists and 11.1 rebounds.
- Naz Reid is averaging 14.3 points, 6.2 boards and 2.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
- Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.0 points, 4.5 boards and 4.1 assists, shooting 40.4% from the floor and 36.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game.
Heat Leaders
- Per game, Norman Powell gets the Heat 24.4 points, 3.8 boards and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- The Heat are getting 12.4 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Kel'el Ware.
- The Heat are getting 17.3 points, 9.5 boards and 2.6 assists per game from Bam Adebayo.
- Per game, Andrew Wiggins gets the Heat 16.1 points, 4.8 boards and 2.9 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks.
- Davion Mitchell averages 9.4 points, 2.5 rebounds and 7.4 assists. He is making 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per contest.
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