Super Bowl Odds Update: Down to the NFL's Final Four

"Through the fire, to the limit, to the wall." For the four winning football teams this past weekend, that is the mentality going forward.
On the heels of a contentious Divisional Round, the NFL Conference Championships are finally here. Unsurprisingly, the Baltimore Ravens and reigning-Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are the final sides from the AFC. Across the way, the NFC is up for grabs between the San Francisco 49ers and Detroit Lions. Now is the time to fasten those chin straps extra tightly.
Naturally, those remaining franchises are all vying for this season's ultimate prize: the Lombardi Trophy in "Fabulous" Las Vegas. Looking at FanDuel Sportsbook's Super Bowl LVIII odds, San Francisco (+145) holds sturdy as the market favorite.
Considering the competitive field is quickly shrinking, let's have a look at the current odds to win Super Bowl LVIII.
All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Odds Rank | Team | Current Odds to Win Super Bowl LVIII | Starting Odds | Last Super Bowl Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers | +145 | +1000 | 1995 |
| 2 | Baltimore Ravens | +175 | +1800 | 2013 |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs* | +450 | +600 | 2023 |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | +700 | +2100 | N/a |
*Denotes Super Bowl LVII participant
Super Bowl LVIII Odds
San Francisco 49ers
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +145
Last Week: +175
Despite being favored by more than a touchdown this past weekend, the 49ers gave the Faithful quite a scare versus the Green Bay Packers. Still, San Francisco buckled down in a rainy fourth quarter behind a lengthy field goal, a few big-time receptions, a bit of luck and a clutch interception. With that, the Niners are headed back to the NFC Championship Game for the third-straight year -- and hosting for the first time since 2019-20.
As one of the more alarming streaks in the NFL, San Francisco has either qualified for the NFC Championship or missed the playoffs entirely in every campaign dating back to 2003; that would be 21 seasons in-a-row. Through that span, that breaks down to 14 years missing the postseason along with 7 occurrences competing for the NFC title. In those six recent conference title games -- not playing the same NFC team twice -- the 49ers are 2-4 ahead of the date with Detroit.
Against Green Bay, San Francisco's offense started sluggishly on a soggy day. Quarterback Brock Purdy connected with All-Pro tight end George Kittle on a 32-yard score, but other than that, the young signal-caller looked out of sorts in the first half. Certainly, it did not help that Deebo Samuel (shoulder) left the game early. He did not return and was San Francisco's only substantial injury, remaining questionable for this Sunday versus the Lions.
Perhaps the biggest positive for the Niners last weekend is that they pulled off a fourth-quarter comeback of at least five points. Previously with SF, head coach Kyle Shanahan was 0-30 in those situations. Like they did in 1995 for Steve Young, perhaps the team just ripped the monkey off Coach Shanny's back.
Currently, the 49ers are 6.5-point favorites in the NFC title game. I'd expect physicality to be a theme in this bid with Motor City.
Baltimore Ravens
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +175
Last Week: +270
Ravens superstar quarterback Lamar Jackson is coming off his most dominant postseason performance to date. After a bye week, Baltimore returned home to host the likely OROY C.J. Stroud and the fiery Houston Texans. Well, in the blistering cold, Jackson and the Flock did well to extinguish that fire; the MVP quarterback produced two scores by land in addition to two scores through the air.
This past Sunday, we saw vintage "Action" Jackson at The Bank. The former Heisman winner accounted for 100 rushing yards on 9.1 yards per carry. Additionally, Lamar sported a completion clip of 72.7% in his first Divisional Round win. Entering the AFC Championship, Jackson is preparing for new waters.
In a heavyweight showdown, the Ravens will host Kansas City this Sunday afternoon. Right now, FanDuel Sportsbook has the chalk on Baltimore at home. As of midday Monday, the Ravens are favored by 3.5 points in the AFC title bid.
Going against the almighty Patrick Mahomes, the Ravens will have an opportunity to remind the world that "defense wins championships". Largely, Baltimore boasted the most dominant defensive unit in the NFL this past season, allowing only 16.5 points per game (PPG). In last Sunday's Divisional Round, the Ravens suffocated Houston into just 3 offensive points and a mere 213 yards of total offense.
To make the recent playoff win more impressive, Baltimore got the job done without three-time Pro Bowl cornerback Marlon Humphrey (calf); his status for Sunday versus KC is still questionable. Against the Chiefs' high-flying attack, it will certainly need to be all feathers on deck for the Flock.
Kansas City Chiefs
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +450
Last Week: +700
Yielding seven-to-one odds in the Super Bowl market, the defending-champion Chiefs have seemingly tapped into that "playoff mode." Last Sunday night served as Mahomes' first postseason contest on the road, and "Showtime" certainly delivered.
Behind 17 of 23 passing over the weekend, Mahomes carved up the Buffalo Bills' talented defense. Notably, the reigning league MVP found star tight end Travis Kelce for two scores. On the ground, tailback Isiah Pacheco added 97 yards and a touchdown.
Nearing the definition of "domination," Kansas City has now qualified for the AFC title game every year since Mahomes took over as starting signal-caller. Simply, his season has never ended earlier than this weekend, and the Chiefs are headed for their sixth consecutive conference championship -- yikes.
For the first time in the current era, Kansas City will be forced to travel for the looming title game. Heading east to Baltimore, the Chiefs approach in the neighborhood of a field-goal underdog (+3.5). Of course, that will be a line to monitor all week at FanDuel Sportsbook; it will be interesting to see which direction the number moves.
As a prevalent storyline, this will be Mahomes' and Jackson's first head-to-head playoff meeting. Outside of Aaron Rodgers, the two aforementioned quarterbacks are the only two active players to have won an MVP award (a category Jackson will almost certainly draw even with Mahomes after this season). Transparently, I'd expect this contest to attract a staggering handle at all shops while bringing in record television ratings.
Detroit Lions
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +700
Last Week: +900
Catapulting Motor City to their second NFC championship of all-time, this current Lions team is playing with the entire spirit of Detroit behind them. After back-to-back playoff wins at home, head coach Dan Campbell and the Honolulu Blue Bunch will head west to the Bay Area where the top-seeded 49ers await.
Entering as roughly a touchdown underdog (+6.5), Detroit brings a confident unit to Santa Clara. Notably, signal-caller Jared Goff will have a bit of a homecoming, as the veteran quarterback grew up just north of the iconic Golden Gate Bridge before starring for the nearby California Golden Bears. Historically, Goff has had a tough time against his childhood team, going 3-6 lifetime versus the 49ers (losing his past five head-to-head games against SF). Can the 2016 first-overall pick continue his revenge tour?
On offense, Goff has plenty of surrounding talent. Detroit's offensive line is one of the best units in the sport while skill-players Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta and David Montgomery set the tone. For the defense, edge-rusher Aidan Hutchinson and defensive back C.J. Gardner-Johnson are the energy leaders.
The Lions possess the necessary strength on both sides of the football to hang with San Francisco on the road, but the power rankings at numberFire still have the 49ers (12.86 nERD) graded noticeably higher at second in the NFL. For Detroit (4.71 nERD), they are ranked seventh on that same scale.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.



