Horse Racing

Stronghold: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

FanDuel Staff
FanDuel Staff
Stronghold: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction

The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.

Stronghold netted 125 points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, and only two other horses earned more qualifying points.

Stronghold Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position

Stronghold's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 20-1 (+2000).

ML Odds
1DornochDanny GarganLuis Saez20-1
2Sierra LeoneChad BrownTyler Gaffalione3-1
3Mystik DanKenny McPeekBrian Hernandez20-1
4Catching FreedomBrad CoxFlavien Prat8-1
5CatalyticSaffie Joseph, Jr.Jose Ortiz30-1
6Just SteelD. Wayne LukasKeith Asmussen20-1
7Honor MarieWhit BeckmanBen Curtis20-1
View Full Table

Stronghold Horse Trainer and Jockey

Trainer Phil D'Amato makes his Kentucky Derby debut with Stronghold, and jockey Antonio Fresu also rides in the Derby for the first time.

Fresu has ridden Stronghold in his last four starts, however, including the Sunland Park Derby and Santa Anita Derby wins.

Stronghold Race History

Stronghold has won half of his races and has never finished worse than second -- although the Speed Scores were sub-90 in his first four starts. The 99 at the Santa Anita Derby in early April could mean momentum.

Speed Scores via Equibase.

Speed Score
4/6/2024Santa AnitaSanta Anita Derby (Gr. 1)199
2/18/2024Sunland ParkSunland Park Derby (Gr. 3)192
12/16/2023Los Alamitos ThoroughbredLos Alamitos Futurity (Gr. 2)289
11/19/2023Del MarBob Hope Stakes (Gr. 3)288
10/1/2023Churchill DownsMaiden Special Weight182
8/27/2023Ellis ParkMaiden Special Weight274

Stronghold Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick

Stronghold's 100.0% in-the-money rate is one of eight such in the field.

The form is trending up with a 93.3 average Speed Score over his last three starts, though that still ranks below average (94.8) among qualified horses.

Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze Stronghold below:

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