Rays vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALCS Game 1 on Oct. 13

Odds updated as of 6:11 a.m.

The Tampa Bay Rays versus the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of the ALCS is on the MLB schedule for Tuesday.

All the information you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Rays vs Guardians Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) vs. Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: truTV, TBS, and HBO Max

Rays vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-132) | CLE: (+112)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+168) | CLE: +1.5 (-205)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)

Rays vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta (Rays) - 10-11, 4.42 ERA vs Parker Messick (Guardians) - 12-9, 2.56 ERA

The probable starters are Freddy Peralta (10-11, 4.42 ERA) for the Rays and Parker Messick (12-9, 2.56 ERA) for the Guardians. Peralta and his team have a record of 18-15-0 against the spread when he starts. Peralta's team has a record of 12-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. When Messick starts, the Guardians have gone 17-17-0 against the spread. The Guardians are 6-2 in Messick's eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Rays vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (60.3%)

Rays vs Guardians Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Rays-Guardians, Tampa Bay is the favorite at -132, and Cleveland is +112 playing on the road.

Rays vs Guardians Spread

• The Guardians are at +1.5 on the runline against the Rays. The Guardians are -205 to cover the spread, and the Rays are +168.

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

• Rays versus Guardians on Oct. 13 has an over/under of 6.5 runs, with the odds on the over -122 and the under set at +100.

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Rays vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Rays have come away with 67 wins in the 106 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Tampa Bay has come away with a win 43 times in 64 chances when named as a favorite of at least -132 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Rays have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 77 of 163 chances this season.
• The Rays are 86-77-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Guardians have gone 32-29 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 52.5% of those games).
• Cleveland is 19-13 (winning 59.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +112 or longer.
• The Guardians have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 158 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 78 of those games (78-80-0).
• The Guardians are 77-81-0 ATS this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 170 hits, which ranks first among Tampa Bay hitters this season, while batting .276 with 68 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .360 and a slugging percentage of .524.
• Among all qualified batters, he is 33rd in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Caminero will look for his fourth straight game with a hit in this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .805, fueled by an OBP of .359 and a team-best slugging percentage of .446 this season. He's batting .293.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 10th, his on-base percentage 33rd, and his slugging percentage 50th.
• Diaz enters this game looking to extend his five-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with two doubles and a walk.
• Liam Hicks has 136 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .367.
• Chandler Simpson has been key for Tampa Bay with 175 hits, an OBP of .333 plus a slugging percentage of .356.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Chase DeLauter has racked up 142 hits, a team-high for the Guardians. He's batting .287 and slugging .457 with an on-base percentage of .363.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, he is 16th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
• DeLauter brings a five-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Steven Kwan has a .382 OBP while slugging .349. Both pace his team. He has a batting average of .282.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 21st in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 131st in slugging percentage.
• Jose Ramirez has 27 doubles, 12 home runs and 60 walks while batting .235.
• Brayan Rocchio is batting .253 with 25 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.

Rays vs Guardians Head to Head

• 10/12/2026: 7-3 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +148)
• 7/26/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/25/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/24/2026: 11-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/28/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/27/2026: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/7/2025: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 9/6/2025: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 9/4/2025: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)

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