Purdue vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - Big Ten Tournament

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Data Skrive
Purdue vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - Big Ten Tournament

The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (28-3, 17-3 Big Ten) will meet the No. 8 seed Michigan State Spartans (19-13, 10-10 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament Friday at Target Center, tipping off at 12:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Friday, March 15, 2024
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center

Purdue vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (67.3%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Friday's Purdue-Michigan State spread (Purdue -7.5) or over/under (141.5 points).

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Purdue vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Purdue is 18-13-0 ATS this season.
  • Michigan State has put together a 17-15-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • When the spread is set as 7.5 or more this season, Purdue (9-12) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.9%) than Michigan State (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
  • The Boilermakers have covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as away games (50%). They have covered eight times in 16 games at home and five times in 10 games when playing on the road.
  • The Spartans' winning percentage against the spread at home is .611 (11-7-0). On the road, it is .400 (4-6-0).
  • Purdue has nine wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
  • Michigan State is 10-11-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this season.

Purdue vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Purdue has won in 22, or 88%, of the 25 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • The Boilermakers have a win-loss record of 17-2 when favored by -310 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Michigan State has won two of the five games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (40%).
  • The Spartans have played as a moneyline underdog of +245 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Purdue has a 75.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Purdue outscores opponents by 14.0 points per game (scoring 84.2 per game to rank 10th in college basketball while giving up 70.2 per contest to rank 124th in college basketball) and has a +433 scoring differential overall.
  • Zach Edey's team-leading 24.2 points per game ranks first in the country.
  • Michigan State is outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game, with a +242 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73.5 points per game (177th in college basketball) and gives up 65.9 per outing (24th in college basketball).
  • Tyson Walker's team-leading 18.3 points per game rank him 74th in college basketball.
  • The Boilermakers rank 11th in the nation at 40.3 rebounds per game. That's 10.9 more than the 29.4 their opponents average.
  • Edey is third in college basketball action with 11.7 rebounds per game to lead the Boilermakers.
  • The Spartans rank 221st in college basketball at 34.6 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 33.7 their opponents average.
  • Malik Hall paces the team with 5.6 rebounds per game (439th in college basketball).
  • Purdue ranks sixth in college basketball with 107.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 82nd in college basketball defensively with 89.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Spartans rank 99th in college basketball with 98.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 52nd defensively with 88.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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