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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 10

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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 10

The North Carolina Tar Heels (19-4, 7-3 ACC) will look to continue a five-game winning streak when they visit the Miami Hurricanes (18-5, 7-3 ACC) on February 10, 2026 at Watsco Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Coral Gables, Florida
  • Arena: Watsco Center

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (FL) win (54.7%)

Before making an informed wager on North Carolina-Miami (FL) outing (in which North Carolina is a 1.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 156.5 points), here are a few betting insights and trends for Tuesday's game.

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North Carolina vs. Miami (FL): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
  • Miami (FL) is 11-12-0 ATS this year.
  • North Carolina (9-10) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (47.4%) than Miami (FL) (2-3) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (40%).
  • At home, the Tar Heels own a better record against the spread (8-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-3-0).
  • The Hurricanes have been better against the spread on the road (4-2-0) than at home (6-8-0) this season.
  • Against the spread, in conference games, North Carolina is 4-6-0 this year.
  • Miami (FL) has three wins against the spread in 10 ACC games this year.

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL): Moneyline Betting Stats

  • North Carolina has been victorious in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
  • The Tar Heels have a mark of 15-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Miami (FL) has put together a 2-3 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, the Hurricanes have a 1-3 record (winning only 25% of their games).
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Carolina has a 53.5% chance of walking away with the win.

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Head-to-Head Comparison

  • North Carolina was 29th in the country in points scored (80.7 per game) and 261st in points conceded (74.7) last season.
  • North Carolina collected 33.2 rebounds per game and gave up 31.2 boards last season, ranking 105th and 182nd, respectively, in college basketball.
  • North Carolina was 93rd in the nation in assists (14.7 per game) last season.
  • North Carolina committed 10.5 turnovers per game last year and forced 10.2 per game, ranking 120th and 288th, respectively, in the nation.
  • Miami (FL)'s defensive performance was eighth-worst in the nation last season with 80.6 points allowed per contest, but offensively it played better, averaging 74 points per game (167th-ranked in college basketball).
  • With 29.2 rebounds per game, Miami (FL) ranked 325th in college basketball. It ceded 30.5 rebounds per contest, which ranked 135th in college basketball.
  • Miami (FL) put up 12.9 assists per game, which ranked them 227th in the country.
  • With 10.2 turnovers per game, Miami (FL) ranked 87th in college basketball. It forced 9.9 turnovers per contest, which ranked 312th in college basketball.

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