North Carolina vs East Tennessee State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 16

The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) will attempt to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-3) on December 16, 2025 at Dean E. Smith Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (86.2%)

Before you bet on Tuesday's North Carolina-East Tennessee State spread (North Carolina -16.5) or over/under (150.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
• East Tennessee State has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
• The Tar Heels did a better job covering the spread at home (7-8-0) last season than they did in road tilts (4-8-0).
• The Buccaneers have been better against the spread at home (5-0-0) than on the road (1-3-0) this season.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has yet to lose any of the seven games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Tar Heels have yet to lose in four games when named as moneyline favorite of -3030 or better.
• East Tennessee State has been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it split the games.
• The Buccaneers have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +1200 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Carolina has a 96.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina outscores opponents by 16.4 points per game (scoring 81.1 per game to rank 110th in college basketball while giving up 64.7 per contest to rank 22nd in college basketball) and has a +164 scoring differential overall.
• Caleb Wilson's team-leading 19.6 points per game ranks 40th in the nation.
• East Tennessee State's +168 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 80.7 points per game (119th in college basketball) while allowing 65.5 per outing (28th in college basketball).
• Cam Morris III's team-leading 14.2 points per game rank him 365th in college basketball.
• The Tar Heels win the rebound battle by 10.3 boards on average. They collect 39.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 29.1 per outing.
• Wilson's 10.6 rebounds per game lead the Tar Heels and rank eighth in college basketball play.
• The 34.4 rebounds per game the Buccaneers accumulate rank 133rd in the nation, 5.1 more than the 29.3 their opponents grab.
• Blake Barkley is 655th in the country with 4.9 rebounds per game, leading the Buccaneers.
• North Carolina averages 101.6 points per 100 possessions (108th in college basketball), while allowing 81 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).
• The Buccaneers rank 106th in college basketball with 101.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 28th defensively with 82.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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