NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Friday 3/1/24

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
NHL Daily Fantasy Picks and Helper: Friday 3/1/24

NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.

Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters.

Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.

Using our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, let's take a look at today's slate to find a goalie, some stacks, and value plays for your NHL DFS lineups on FanDuel.


Goalie to Target

Samuel Ersson, Flyers ($8,000)

Samuel Ersson ($8,000) has inherited the role as the starting goalie for the Philadelphia Flyers, and he's done a good enough job to keep them in the playoffs.

Ersson has saved .172 goals above expected per 60 minutes. That's a better number than Carter Hart's -0.029, so Ersson might have taken the job over through merit even if Hart was available to play.

The Flyers are sixth in expected goals against per 60 minutes and allow the fewest shots on goal per 60, as well. They get a good matchup tonight for their style of play.

Philly will face the Washington Capitals tonight. Washington has scored only more goals per game than the lowly San Jose Sharks and Chicago Blackhawks.

The Capitals have just an implied team total of 2.58 goals tonight, so Ersson should be able to post a decent fantasy performance tonight.


New Jersey Devils

The New Jersey Devils put up seven goals on Tuesday against the Sharks. They'll get another premium matchup tonight.

They didn't make things easy on us with the way they configured their lines. They have Nico Hischier ($7,600) and Jesper Bratt ($8,000) together on the top line and top power play. Those two will play with the talented Timo Meier ($5,400) at even strength, but he has struggled to really fit in since he joined the team just over a year ago.

This makes for a good stack, but it ignores the team's best player in Jack Hughes ($10,200). Hughes got moved to a second line with Ondrej Palat ($4,400) and Curtis Lazar ($3,500). It makes it easier to fit in Hughes but doesn't give us correlation on the power play.

If you wanted to go for the expensive stack of Hughes, Hischier, and Bratt, that would make sense. Hughes doesn't necessarily need five-on-five correlation because he's been getting so many shots on goal.

The Devils will face an Anaheim Ducks team that allowed four goals to the Sharks last night. On the season, they allow the sixth-most xG per 60 minutes and fourth-most goals per game.

New Jersey has an implied team total of 3.93 goals tonight, by far the highest on the slate. There are a few different ways to stack them, but it's clear we want a piece of them in lineups tonight.

Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators are not close to contending for a playoff spot, but they are a better team than you might think. It's especially true for fantasy purposes because Ottawa is 11th in goals per game, scoring more than teams we often stack like the Florida Panthers and Carolina Hurricanes.

They had an injury to Josh Norris, which has opened up a spot for Shane Pinto ($6,400) on the first line and first power play. He'll play with the team's leading goal scorer, Brady Tkachuk ($8,100), in both situations. The other member of their even strength line is Vladimir Tarasenko ($5,100), who has 15 goals and may be showcased for a potential trade.

Ottawa is at home against the struggling Arizona Coyotes. Arizona lost last night, making it 14 games in a row in which they've failed to pick up two points. They've now allowed the 10th-most goals per game in the NHL.

The Sens are capable of putting up a lot of goals despite their poor position in the standings, and they are expected to do that tonight. They have an implied team total of 3.66 goals, trailing only the Devils on tonight's slate.

Value Skaters

Bobby Brink, W, Flyers ($3,400)

Bobby Brink ($3,400) was called up from the AHL on Tuesday for his first game since January 15th, and he scored a goal. This seemed to impress the coaching staff because he's now on the first line for the Flyers.

Brink had an impressive college career at the University of Denver and is starting to put it together at the NHL level. The goal on Tuesday was his eighth in just 39 games in the NHL this season.

He also will see time on the second power-play unit for the Flyers. For this salary, he's one of the best bets to produce some fantasy points on the slate.

Pavel Mintyukov, D, Ducks ($4,400)

Pavel Mintyukov ($4,400) was mostly an unknown heading into the season. He's been impressive as a rookie, as he's currently third in scoring among rookie defensemen.

Mintyukov also could see his role increase tonight because Cam Fowler suffered an injury last night and is questionable. Mintyukov would be the logical choice to replace Fowler on the top power play for Anaheim.

The Devils allow the seventh-most goals per game, so even though they are huge favorites, the Ducks should be able to score in this matchup. Mintyukov would benefit from that, and he's a defenseman I'll want in my lineups tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.