NCAA Tournament Prop Bets for Sunday's Elite Eight Games

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
NCAA Tournament Prop Bets for Sunday's Elite Eight Games

The NCAA Tournament continues Sunday, and we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for both Elite Eight games via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds to find Sunday's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change after this article is published.

NCAA Tournament Prop Bets

(2) Tennessee vs. (1) Purdue, 2:20 p.m. ET

Zach Edey Over 22.5 Points (-122)

Let's not overthink this one.

For Sunday's Elite Eight matchup with Tennessee, Zach Edey's points prop is set at 22.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

That's a tick too low for a player of Edey's caliber -- I expect him to have another big game, going over 22.5 points in the process.

Edey -- the soon-to-be two-time Wooden Award winner -- is averaging 24.6 points per game on the year. He's gone for 30, 23, and 27 points over Purdue's first three NCAA Tournament games. He's scored at least 23 points in 10 straight games and in 12 of his last 13.

For as eye-popping as his season-long numbers are, this recent stretch is even wilder. Over his last 13 games, Edey is averaging 27.2 points with a 36% usage rate. He's put up 14.8 field goal attempts per game over that span, adding in another 14.0 free throw attempts.

Efficient from the field (62.4% FG%) and the line (71.4% FT%), Edey should give the Volunteers loads of trouble inside -- just as he did back in November.

In Purdue and Tennessee's Maui Invitational clash, Edey went for 23 points on 7-of-10 shooting. He could've been in for an even bigger day, too, had he been his usual self from the charity stripe. The 7'4" center shot just 9 of 17 from the line, his second-worst free throw shooting performance of the season.

Edey's gone 22-for-32 from the line in the NCAA Tournament, but even if he struggles again, he'd still stand a good chance of racking up 23 points.

While Tennessee ranks third in adjusted defensive efficiency, they don't have the size to battle Edey down low.

Jonas Aidoo, a 6'11" center, has come on strong over the second half of the year, but he struggles to stay out of foul trouble. Edey fouled out Aidoo after just 13 minutes back in November, and he's since fouled of three additional games -- all against teams with elite bigs.

Simply put, this line is too short for the nation's best player in the biggest game of his career. Amid a hot streak and having already proven capable of torching Tennessee, look for Zach Edey to hit the over on this 22.5-point prop.

With -122 odds for the over and -106 odds for the under, there's a chance this prop increases closer to the game. Considering how dominant Edey's been -- and how helpless Tennessee was to stop him in November -- I'd be willing to play the over up to 23.5.

(11) NC State vs. (4) Duke, 5:05 p.m. ET

DJ Burns Jr. Over 2.5 Assists (-138)

ACC rivals NC State and Duke square off in the South region with a trip to the Final Four on the line.

Will NC State upset Duke? That's to be determined.

But with the Wolfpack riding the nation's second longest active win streak, they figure to at least give Duke a fight.

Star big man DJ Burns Jr. should be a big part of that. Coming off a 7-assist game against Marquette, we can look for Burns to hit the over on his assist prop, currently set at 2.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Through three NCAA Tournament games, Burns is averaging 3.7 assists per game. While he failed to record an assist in the First Round, he's now dished 4 and 7 dimes over the last two games.

That's nothing new for the Wolfpack's offensive maestro. Burns is averaging 2.8 assists per game on the year, and he's recorded at least 3 dimes in 23 of 39 games on the year.

Two of those 23 came against Duke, with Burns recording 4 assists in both prior meetings with the Blue Devils. He played 26 and 31 minutes across those two outings, registering usage rates of 28% and 43%.

Although Burns doesn't match up well with every team, he's proven capable of staying on the floor against Duke. In what could be his final collegiate game, expect the Wolfpack to rely on their fifth-year senior early and often, allowing Burns to hit the over on his assists prop.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.