NC State vs Virginia College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

The NC State Wolfpack (10-4, 1-0 ACC) will host the Virginia Cavaliers (11-2, 0-1 ACC) after winning three home games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

NC State vs. Virginia Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
• Game time: 11 a.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
• Arena: Lenovo Center

NC State vs. Virginia Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: NC State win (60.4%)

Before you place a wager on NC State-Virginia contest (in which NC State is a 3.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 154.5 points), here are a few betting trends and insights for Saturday's game.

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NC State vs. Virginia: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• NC State has won eight games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
• Virginia has compiled a 7-6-0 ATS record so far this season.
• The Wolfpack did a better job covering the spread when playing at home (8-10-0) last season than they did in road games (2-9-0).
• Against the spread last season, the Cavaliers had better results away (5-6-0) than at home (7-10-0).

NC State vs. Virginia: Moneyline Betting Stats

• NC State has been victorious in nine, or 75%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Wolfpack have a mark of 9-1 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -188 or better on the moneyline.
• Virginia has been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it won.
• The Cavaliers have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +155 or longer.
• NC State has an implied victory probability of 65.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

NC State vs. Virginia Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, NC State was 294th in college basketball offensively (69.6 points scored per game) and 126th on defense (70.4 points conceded).
• NC State grabbed 29.6 rebounds per game and conceded 32.9 boards last year, ranking 316th and 287th, respectively, in college basketball.
• NC State was 260th in the country in assists (12.5 per game) last year.
• In terms of turnovers, NC State was 12th-best in the country in committing them (9.1 per game) last year. It was 153rd in forcing them (11.5 per game).
• While Virginia ranked in the bottom 25 in the nation in points per game last year with 64.8 (fifth-worst), it ranked 39th in college basketball with 66.8 points given up per contest.
• Virginia averaged just 26.8 rebounds per game (worst in college basketball), and allowed 30.1 boards per contest (104th-ranked).
• Virginia ranked 93rd in the nation with 14.7 assists per game.
• Virginia ranked 25th-best in the nation with 9.3 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranked 19th-worst in college basketball with 9.2 forced turnovers per contest.

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