NBA Props Today: 3 Best NBA Player Prop Bets for Saturday, Nov. 14

Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets at a Glance

• Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers (-180)
• Rudy Gobert Under 10.5 Points (-108)
• Davion Mitchell Over 14.5 Points (+100)

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Saturday's five-game NBA slate offers some intriguing NBA player prop opportunities, with recent shooting trends, changing offensive roles, and favorable statistical profiles providing potential betting angles.

I’m targeting three NBA player props using recent production, game logs, and FanDuel Sportsbook lines.

Here are my favorite NBA player props for today.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NBA odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. You can check out our player news page and NBA projections.

NBA Prop Bets for Today: Best NBA Props

Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers (-180)

Nuggets at Pelicans — 7:00 p.m. ET

The Denver Nuggets have gotten plenty of perimeter production from Jamal Murray, who has made 4.0 three-pointers per game over his last 10 appearances. Murray has knocked down at least three triples in seven of those 10 games, including five against Memphis on November 11 and seven against Phoenix on October 30.

He has averaged 35.9 minutes over that stretch, giving him ample time to generate attempts from deep.

The New Orleans Pelicans also surrendered 145 points to Brooklyn on Wednesday and 142 to Memphis on Friday, underscoring their recent defensive struggles.

In a great matchup and in a groove from deep, Murray can nail at least three triples tonight.

Rudy Gobert Under 10.5 Points (-108)

Bulls at Timberwolves — 8:00 p.m. ET

The scoring profile for Rudy Gobert has been modest this season, making his points under worth considering even in a favorable matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves’ center is averaging just 7.9 points per contest through 11 games and 8.2 points over his last 10. He has scored more than 10.5 points only once in 11 outings, and his last 10-game scoring median is 8.5.

Gobert is averaging 29.0 minutes over that recent stretch, so the concern is less about court time than offensive involvement.

Even against a Chicago Bulls defense that can be attacked, Gobert’s limited shot creation makes 11 points a demanding threshold, and with Minny a 15.5-point favorite, there’s a chance Gobert sees reduced minutes today.

Davion Mitchell Over 14.5 Points (+100)

Pistons at Heat — 8:00 p.m. ET

The Miami Heat have leaned on Davion Mitchell for substantial backcourt minutes, and he’s been playing really dang well despite Miami’s sluggish start.

Mitchell has averaged 17.4 points and 36.6 minutes over his last 10 games, topping 14.5 points eight times in that span. He has reached the mark in four of his last five, including 22 points against Cleveland in his most recent outing.

His season-long average sits at 16.9 points, and his expanded role provides a reasonable floor for his scoring opportunities.

The Detroit Pistons are a challenging defensive opponent, but Mitchell’s recent workload and hit rate make the even-money price appealing.

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NBA Player Prop Bets FAQ

What are NBA player prop bets?

NBA player prop bets are wagers on specific statistical outcomes for individual players during a game — independent of which team wins or loses. You might bet on how many points a star guard scores, whether a big man grabs 10 or more rebounds, or how many assists a point guard dishes out.

What types of NBA player props are available?

FanDuel offers an extensive menu of NBA props. The most common categories include:

• Points — over/under on a player's scoring total
• Rebounds — over/under on total boards (offensive + defensive)
• Assists — over/under on dimes dished
• Three-pointers made — over/under on made threes
• Points + rebounds + assists (PRA) — combined stat total for those three stats
• Double-double or triple-double — yes/no prop on achieving the milestone

How do NBA player prop odds work?

NBA props use the standard American (moneyline) odds format. A negative number indicates how much you must wager to profit $100, while a positive number shows the profit on a $100 bet.

• -115 odds — bet $115 to win $100
• +115 odds — bet $100 to win $115
• -200 odds — bet $200 to win $100

What is a points prop bet in the NBA?

A points prop is a bet on whether a specific player will score over or under a set total. For example, a line might read: LeBron James — Points — Over 24.5 (-110).

Key factors to research before betting points props include the player's recent scoring form, the opposing team's defensive rating and points allowed to their position, pace of play, and how many minutes the player is likely to play.

What is a PRA prop bet for NBA?

PRA stands for Points + Rebounds + Assists — a combined stat prop that totals all three categories into one number. For example, a Nikola Jokic PRA line might be set at 49.5.

PRA props are popular for versatile players because their contributions span multiple statistical categories. They're less volatile than single-stat props since a slow scoring night can be offset by a strong rebounding or passing game.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.