MLB Win Total Betting: What Do the Rangers Have in Store After Last Year's Title?

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
MLB Win Total Betting: What Do the Rangers Have in Store After Last Year's Title?

The Texas Rangers are riding higher than ever after winning their first World Series championship in franchise history. The Rangers are looking to avoid a letdown season in 2024 as they carry the fifth-shortest odds to win the World Series (+1400) when looking at FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds.

Compared to their previous two free agency campaigns, the Rangers' offseason spending was down. Still, Texas brings back their core pieces from the championship run, and they have some incoming talent from youngsters. The Rangers are poised to be one of the MLB's top teams once again as FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB win totals suggest.

What is the Texas Rangers win total set at for 2024, per the MLB win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook?

Texas' win total is sitting at 88.5, which is the seventh-highest in the league.

With that said, let's look at the Rangers' upcoming season and which win total side could lead to success.

All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published. nERD via numberFire. Projections via FanGraphs.

Texas Rangers Win Total Odds

Texas Rangers Over/Under 88.5 Wins

  • Over: -108
  • Under: -112

Why Rangers Could Win Over 88.5 Games (-108)

Texas reached 90 wins last season, and key contributors from the 2023 season are back. This includes Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, Adolis Garcia, Josh Jung, and Nathaniel Lowe.

This core of players led the Rangers to posting the third-most runs per game last season (5.44). We can expect similar production for the upcoming campaign.

For example, FanGraphs Depth Charts projections are predicting a .294 batting average, .367 on-base percentage (OBP), and a 4.8 wins above replacement (WAR) for Seager. Garcia is expected to post exceptional slugging numbers once again with a predicted 32 homers. Jung is one player who could improve as the third-year third baseman is projected 27 dingers and 92 RBIs; he posted 23 homers and 70 RBIs in 2023.

We should expect this to be one of the best batting orders in the MLB yet again. FanGraphs is predicting Texas will total 4.90 runs per game (sixth-most).

While it was a slow offseason for the Rangers, this does not mean they will not improve anywhere. In fact, Texas has two of the top six prospects in baseball with Evan Carter and Wyatt Langford. In 23 games last season, Carter had a .306 batting average and .416 OBP. Langford has yet to make his majors debut, but he has a solid chance of making the opening day roster.

Carter (+280) and Langford (+480) are among the top three options to win the American League Rookie of the Year, per FanDuel's MLB award odds. The rookies could bring a big boost to the outfield.

The argument for the over mostly focuses on the Rangers' retention of talent, especially in the batting order. However, the under has been a more popular pick. Why could Texas fall short of 89 wins?

Why Rangers Could Win Under 88.5 Games (-112)

First off, we can't ignore the wide-open AL West. The Houston Astros (-105), Rangers (+200), and Seattle Mariners (+300) all figure to contend when looking at FanDuel's MLB divisional odds. The schedule could prove to be difficult with 13 matchups against the Astros and Mariners, but on the other side of that is 13 matchups against the Los Angeles Angels and the Oakland Athletics.

Texas' division could spark some debate as the 2023 season wasn't much different in this regard, and the Rangers still reached 90 wins. The pitching situation presents a much stronger argument for the under.

The roster still features Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer, but neither former Cy Young winners could return until the middle of the season. deGrom also started in only started in six games last season before his season-ending elbow injury. The veteran pitcher has not started in over 15 games since the 2019 season. The health of deGrom and Scherzer are clear concerns.

Additionally, Texas has not re-signed Jordan Montgomery, who posted a 2.79 ERA in 11 starts with the Rangers last season. Texas added Tyler Mahle to the starting rotation, but he will probably not return until the second half of the season following Tommy John surgery last season.

You've probably sensed the theme by now. The Rangers are banking on their batting order until their starting rotation gets healthy. This brings plenty of risk. As a result, Texas is projected to give up 4.83 runs per game (eighth-most). They are also forecasted to total only 82 wins, far below their win total of 88.5.

Due to the risky situation with the starting pitcher rotation, the under feels like the best bet for the Rangers.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.