MLB.TV Free Game of the Day Betting Picks for Guardians-Orioles (6/24/24)

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
MLB.TV Free Game of the Day Betting Picks for Guardians-Orioles (6/24/24)

The lengthy MLB season can cause some games to get lost in the shuffle, but MLB.TV provides fans with a Free Game of the Day throughout the regular season that can also be seen on FanDuel TV+ here, or also available on Apple TV, Roku, Android TV, Fire TV, and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Why not add to the viewing excitement by getting in on the MLB odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook?

For this article, we've got you covered with a betting guide for each Free Game of the Day. With that, let's take a look at some of the best bets for today's free game.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Betting Picks

Guardians vs. Orioles Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Spread: Guardians -1.5 (+162)
  • Total: 8.0
  • Moneyline:
    • Guardians: +102
    • Orioles: -120

Best Bet

Guardians Moneyline (+102)

Two of the best teams in MLB are set to meet for the first time in 2024. The Cleveland Guardians (49-26) will visit the Baltimore Orioles (49-28), and it might be worthwhile to back the road team tonight.

Tanner Bibee will be on the bump for Cleveland. After finishing as the runner-up in last year's AL Rookie of the Year voting, Bibee has played a key role in Cleveland's success during his sophomore season.

He comes in with a 3.65 ERA, 3.19 xFIP (11th-best in MLB), 3.08 SIERA (9th), and 29.4% K% (8th). Although Baltimore has a great lineup and is generating a .252 BA (7th), .311 OBP (15th), and .461 SLG (1st) against right-handed pitchers, I still like Cleveland in this spot.

Notably, Bibee owns a 2.84 ERA on the road, and the Guardians are 12-3 when he takes the mound, providing an average of just 1.6 runs on offense in those three losses. Past Bibee, the Guardians tout the best bullpen in baseball, leading the league in ERA, xFIP, WHIP, SIERA, and win probability added.

The O's look primed to have an uncharacteristically quiet night at the plate, and Cleveland's offense could prove enough run support to usurp control of the AL standings from the New York Yankees.

Cade Povich will get the ball for Baltimore, marking his fourth start in the majors. Through 16 IP, Povich has allowed 11 hits, 9 walks, and 7 earned runs. He's been stamped with a 6.14 xFIP and 6.03 SIERA in this span, which might not hold up well against a legit Cleveland lineup.

The Guardians are producing a .333 OBP (5th), .424 SLG (8th), and 117 wRC+ (7th) versus left-handed pitchers. Steven Kwan has been remarkable since returning from the IL and Jose Ramirez and David Fry also boast awesome splits against lefties.

With all this in mind, I think the Guardians should be entering tonight's contest as the slight favorite, so I'm happy to side with these +102 odds.

Best Prop

Steven Kwan To Record 2+ Total Bases (+115)

Cleveland's leadoff hitter has been raking this season and looks to be undervalued in this market.

Kwan has recorded at least two bases in 59.2% of games (29 out of 49 contests) while these +115 odds imply just a 46.5% probability.

Since returning from the IL, he has notched at least two bases in 13 out of 17 games.

This season, he has gone 25-for-59 (.424 BA) at the plate against lefties and is striking out at a mere 7.8% rate versus this handedness. We don't have a voluminous major-league sample for Povich, but we do know this rookie pitcher could be vulnerable tonight.

I'll happily back these +115 odds considering Kwan has cleared this prop at a 76.5% rate this month.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.