MLB

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 6/26/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 6/26/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Wednesday 6/26/24

New York Yankees at New York Mets

New York Mets Alternate Total Runs: Over 2.5 (-260)
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-146)
Aaron Judge to Record 2+ Total Bases (-125)

Combined Odds: +308

The second game of the Subway Series between the New York Yankees and New York Mets will feature Luis Gil and Sean Manaea, and fading both starters seems like the ideal strategy on Wednesday.

Beginning with Gil, the hard-throwing righty for the Yankees has cooled off in recent starts, tallying fewer than seven Ks in each of his last four starts -- including a one-strikeout performance his last time out versus the Baltimore Orioles.

Besides Gil showing some regression on the mound in recent outings, the Mets aren't a team that strikes out often. The Mets own the 11th-lowest strikeout rate (21.0%) against right-handed pitching, and they've registered the seventh-lowest strikeout rate (19.7%), second-best wOBA (.392), second-best wRC+ (160), and best ISO (.247) in the last 14 days.

While going 10-2 in their last 12 games, the Mets have scored three-plus runs in 10 of those contests. It's worth mentioning that Gil has permitted three-plus earned runs himself in two of his last three starts.

Meanwhile, Manaea could have a tough time racking up Ks versus the Yankees at home. Despite reaching six-plus strikeouts in four of his last five starts, Manaea is in the 31st percentile in walk rate (9.6%), 32nd percentile in barrel rate (8.6%), and 27th percentile in hard-hit rate (41.9%).

On top of that, the Yankees boast the 14th-lowest strikeout rate (21.0%) and highest walk rate (11.3%) against southpaws. Manaea has also failed to pitch six-plus innings in six consecutive starts, so he likely won't be in the game long enough to achieve six-plus Ks.

With Aaron Judge crushing lefties to the tune of a .464 wOBA, 209 wRC+, and .373 ISO, the All-Star outfielder should have success versus Manaea. Judge has tallied two-plus bases in four of his last seven contests, and he's being given just +176 odds to hit a home run.

Make sure to stay updated on the weather for this game as there are potential concerns shortly after the first pitch is thrown.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago White Sox

Gavin Stone Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-146)
Freddie Freeman to Record an RBI (+115)

Combined Odds: +255

Gavin Stone isn't considered a pitcher who racks up strikeouts at a high clip, but he's seen an upticks in Ks in recent starts. Across his last six starts for the Los Angeles Dodgers, Stone has posted five-plus Ks in five of them.

While Stone is sitting in just the 52nd percentile in whiff rate (25.5%) and 31st percentile in strikeout rate (19.1%), he is in the 72nd percentile in chase rate (30.5%). That could come in handy against a Chicago White Sox team that is logging the ninth-highest swinging rate on pitches outside of the zone (32.6%) and the ninth-highest swinging strike rate (11.5%).

Additionally, the White Sox are registering the 3rd-worst wOBA (.270), 3rd-worst wRC+ (72), worst ISO (.110), and the 11th-highest strikeout rate (23.1%) in the last 14 days. This should allow Stone -- who has gone six-plus innings in eight of his 14 starts -- to pitch deep enough to reach five-plus strikeouts.

Erick Fedde is enjoying career-best marks in xFIP (3.68), SIERA (3.78), and strikeout rate (22.1%) through 16 starts for the White Sox. That being said, he's given up five-plus hits in five straight outings, and he's allowed multiple earned runs in four of his last five.

Freddie Freeman is among the hitters on the Dodgers who can take advantage while Fedde is on the bump. Freeman is sporting a .432 wOBA, 186 wRC+, .247 ISO, and just a 15.9% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers this year.

After swatting his 12th homer of the season on Tuesday, Freeman has now recorded at least one RBI in four of his last six appearances. The experienced first baseman is carrying +430 odds to hit a home run on Wednesday.

Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks

Corbin Carroll to Record a Run (-135)
Royce Lewis to Record 2+ Total Bases (-135)

Combined Odds: +231

Walking batters has become a bit of an issue for Simeon Woods Richardson in recent appearances for the Minnesota Twins. Richardson has issued two-plus walks in four of his last five starts, which has led to him giving up multiple earned runs in each of those outings.

As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks have accrued the 13th-highest walk rate (8.2%) versus right-handed pitching in the last 30 days. Out of the leadoff spot against right-handed pitchers, Corbin Carroll owns a 12.7% walk rate, and he's scored at least one run in seven of his last 11 games.

Carroll is also posting a .342 wOBA, 122 wRC+, and .375 OBP in June, so there's a variety of ways for him to get on base and cross home plate.

On the other hand, Royce Lewis should take advantage of Ryne Nelson being on the mound for Arizona. Lewis simply crushes baseballs when he's at the plate, notching a fantastic .478 wOBA, 217 wRC+, and .510 ISO when facing right-handed pitching.

Throughout his 18 games since returning from injury on June 4th, Lewis has totaled two-plus bases in 12 of those contests. At the same time, Nelson is showing reverse splits by permitting a .417 wOBA and .567 SLG to righties, compared to a .309 wOBA and .441 SLG to lefties.

Given his tendency to hit balls out of the park, Lewis has +320 odds to hit a home run.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.