MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 5/1/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 5/1/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Wednesday 5/1/24

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins

Roddery Munoz Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-110)
First 5 Innings Result: Miami Marlins (-113)

Combined Odds: +212

It was quite the debut for Roddery Munoz in his first career start in the majors for the Miami Marlins last time out, limiting the Chicago Cubs to two hits and two earned runs while striking out seven. Munoz generated a solid 29.3% chase rate and an elite 38.9% strikeout rate in his first start of the season, and he'll have a premier matchup versus the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday.

On the year, the Rockies have the fourth-highest strikeout rate (27.4%) against right-handed pitching. Additionally, Colorado has the third-highest strikeout rate (26.7%), the 10th-lowest wOBA (.293), the 10th-lowest ISO (.121), and the seventh-lowest wRC+ (86) when not playing within the confines of Coors Field.

Even though Munoz gave up both of his earned runs in his first start by way of the long ball with a 20% barrel rate, the Rockies aren't a team that excels at hitting the ball hard -- especially on the road.

With Munoz on the mound for the Marlins at home and Dakota Hudson starting for the Rockies, we'll take Miami to secure a lead in the first five innings. Despite the Marlins struggling at the plate thus far, Hudson is in the 18th percentile in xERA (5.37), fifth percentile in chase rate (20.6%), eighth percentile in strikeout rate (13.8%), and 15th percentile in walk rate (12.9%).

Hudson has surrendered three-plus earned runs in each of his last four starts, and Colorado has faced a deficit of three-plus runs in the first five innings in each of those contests.

Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers

Corey Seager to Record 2+ Total Bases (-145)
C.J. Abrams to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Alternate Total Runs: Over 6.5 (-340)

Combined Odds: +329

We have yet to see Corey Seager return to his 2023 form this season, but it's only a matter of time before he begins seeing improvement in his numbers at the plate. The All-Star shortstop for the Texas Rangers currently has the 10th-biggest difference between his SLG and xSLG (-0.146) and the 22nd-biggest difference between his wOBA and xwOBA (-0.059).

The bounce back could begin on Wednesday, with Seager slated to face starter Trevor Williams of the Washington Nationals. Williams is in the 39th percentile in average exit velocity (89.3 MPH), 15th percentile in whiff rate (19.2%), 27th percentile in strikeout rate (18.8%), and 33rd percentile in hard-hit rate (41.9%).

When it comes to facing lefties, Williams is also permitting a .341 wOBA and .409 SLG in that split compared to a .171 wOBA and .146 SLG given up to righties. While Williams has yet to surrender a home run this year, Seager is carrying +310 odds to hit a home run in Wednesday's matchup.

On the other hand, Andrew Heaney has held reverse splits in recent years, making C.J. Abrams a bat we want to target for the Nationals. After allowing a .362 wOBA and .406 OBP to left-handed bats compared to a .328 wOBA and .314 OBP to right-handed bats in 2023, Heaney is giving up a .459 wOBA and .467 OBP to lefties compared to a .302 wOBA and .287 OBP to righties in 2024.

Abrams is also showing reverse splits at the plate to begin the campaign, posting a .556 wOBA and 261 wRC+ to southpaws compared to a .364 wOBA and 134 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. By taking Seager and Abrams to record multiple bases, we're fading both starting pitchers and taking the alternate over of seven-plus being scored.

There were eight runs scored in the first meeting of the series between the Nationals and Rangers, and Texas has been in a game with seven-plus runs scored in four of their last five contests.

Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros

Jose Altuve to Record 2+ Total Bases (+100)
Kyle Tucker to Record a Hit (-210)
Houston Astros Alternate Total: Over 3.5 Runs (-230)

Combined Odds: +246

The Houston Astros are set to take on Triston McKenzie and the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday following a 10-9 victory in the series opener on Tuesday. McKenzie has produced inconsistent results to begin 2024 as his fastball velocity has dipped to 91.1 MPH after averaging 92.5 MPH in 2023.

The right-handed starter for the Guardians is known to be pitching with a torn ligament in his right elbow, which isn't ideal for his long-term outlook this season. While McKenzie has performed better in recent starts, the fact he is in the 25th percentile in xERA (4.87), seventh percentile in whiff rate (21.1%), 21st percentile in strikeout rate (17.6%), and fifth percentile in walk rate (16.7%) doesn't bode well ahead of his matchup versus the Astros on Wednesday.

Regardless of what handed pitcher is on the mound, Jose Altuve has continued to bat leadoff for Houston this season. That being said, Altuve is sporting a .473 wOBA and .299 ISO to right-handed pitchers compared to a .347 wOBA and .125 ISO to left-handed pitchers to begin the year.

Altuve also has back-to-back multi-hit performances and two-plus bases in four of his last six appearances. The experienced infielder is being given +430 odds to hit a home run in Wednesday's Guardians-Astros clash.

Besides Altuve, we'll back Kyle Tucker to continue his recent stretch of success. Tucker is amid a six-game hit streak and he has at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 contests.

Seeing that we're placing confidence in Altuve and Tucker to do damage early versus McKenzie, taking the alternate over of 3.5 runs for the Astros makes sense in this SGP. Houston has scored eight-plus runs in three consecutive games, and they have plated four-plus runs in six of their last 10.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.