MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 5/9/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 5/9/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Thursday 5/9/24

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies

Keaton Winn to Record 4+ Strikeouts (-290)
Michael Conforto to Record an RBI (+110)
First 5 Innings Result: San Francisco Giants (-114)

Combined Odds: +314

The Colorado Rockies are seemingly going to be a team we can target in the strikeout department this season. Keaton Winn is slated to start for the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field on Thursday, and he's tallied four-plus Ks in five of his first seven starts despite being in the 34th percentile in strikeout rate (20.3%).

At the same time, the Rockies have the third-highest strikeout rate (27.9%) versus right-handed pitching. Winn is also in the 92nd percentile in chase rate (34.6%) while Colorado has the second-highest swinging rate (35.7%) on pitches outside of the strike zone.

Along with taking Winn to have success on the bump, we'll back Michael Conforto to continue seeing the ball in this series against the Rockies. Cal Quantrill is the projected starting pitchers for Colorado on Thursday, and he's off to a shaky start this year.

Besides being in the 15th percentile in average exit velocity (90.7 MPH), Quantrill is also in just the 21st percentile in chase rate (24.5%), seventh percentile in whiff rate (17.9%), and 12th percentile in strikeout rate (15.5%). Batters aren't having a tough time inducing contact when Quantrill takes the mound, evidenced by him giving up three-plus earned runs in four of his first seven starts.

Conforto has a hit in four of his last five games -- including two multi-hit outings -- and he's recorded an RBI in three of his last four. The combination of Winn pitching well and Conforto helping the Giants do damage against Quantrill makes it more likely San Francisco secures a lead in the first five innings.

In each of the first two games of the series, the Giants have jumped out to a lead of four-plus runs in the first five innings.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

Nolan Arenado to Record an RBI (+145)
St. Louis Cardinals Alternate Total Runs: Over 3.5 (-164)

Combined Odds: +196

It has been a rough start to the season for Tobias Myers, who is getting the nod for the Milwaukee Brewers in their matchup versus the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. Myers has allowed four-plus earned runs in back-to-back starts while being in the 16th percentile in xERA (5.28) through his first three starts.

Additionally, Myers is in the sixth percentile in barrel rate (12.8%), sixth percentile in whiff rate (17.1%), and 31st percentile in average exit velocity (89.7 MPH). Myers is also showing reverse splits, permitting a .463 wOBA and .786 SLG to righties compared to a .260 wOBA and .273 SLG to lefties.

When considering those splits, Nolan Arenado is a right-handed bat on the Cardinals who is primed for a productive performance. Arenado has at least one hit in five of his last six games, and he's accrued seven RBIs in his last five contests.

Even though Arenado has typically performed better versus southpaws, he is currently sporting a .357 wOBA, .422 SLG, and 134 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers compared to a .212 wOBA, .259 SLG, and 36 wRC+ when facing left-handed pitchers. With a team-high 20 RBIs, we'll back Arenado to plate a run for the Cardinals in an advantageous matchup.

Given Myers' woes on the bump to begin the campaign, we'll also back the Cardinals to produce four-plus runs.

Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels

Reid Detmers Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Vinnie Pasquantino to Record 2+ Total Bases (+120)

Combined Odds: +266

Following a blazing start to the 2024 season, Reid Detmers has been sputtering in recent starts for the Los Angeles Angels. Detmers surrendered one or fewer earned runs in each of his first four starts, but he's proceeded to give up four-plus earned runs in each of his last three starts.

On top of that, Detmers went from striking out seven-plus batters in three of his first four starts to fanning four or fewer batters in two of his last three appearances on the mound. For Thursday's showdown, Detmers will be pitching against the Kansas City Royals, who don't strike out much versus left-handed pitchers.

The Royals have the seventh-lowest strikeout rate (19.5%) against southpaws in the early going. Detmers also has reverse splits with a .346 wOBA, .459 SLG, and .326 OBP allowed to lefties compared to a .301 wOBA, .387 SLG, and .295 OBP to righties.

With those metrics in mind, Vinnie Pasquantino is a hitter who interests me for this SGP. Pasquantino is a left-handed batter who is capable of having success against same-handed pitching, logging a career .336 wOBA and 113 wRC+ in that split compared to a .347 wOBA and 121 wRC+ when going up against right-handed pitchers.

Between a combination of Detmers' recent woes and Pasquantino's recent hot stretch, we'll take the hard-hitting lefty to tally multiple bases in the heart of Kansas City's order. Pasquantino has registered at least one hit in six of his last seven games, which includes three multi-hit performances and five extra-base hits in that span.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.