MLB

MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Saturday 3/30/24

Matthew Lo
Matthew Lo@holla2mlo
MLB Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Saturday 3/30/24

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Betting Picks

Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers

Over 9.5 Total Runs (-110)

In a matchup between two below average starters in Kyle Hendricks and Cody Bradford, plenty of offense should be displayed in a favorable offensive environment ranked seventh in park factor rating.

Taking the mound for Chicago, Hendricks' 2023 advanced metrics suggest some regression in his skill related statistics including a low 16.1% K-rate and a concerning 4.42 xFIP while on the opposing side, Bradford profiles as a flaming gas can with career starting numbers including a horrid 4.86 xFIP and an outstanding inability to get outs versus left-handed hitters (13.1% K-rate and 5.00 xFIP).

With two prime spots for offense, there should be plenty of opportunities to cash in on either side while numberFire's models project similar predictions with an expected total at 10.21 runs.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

Christian Walker to Record 2+ Bases (-125)

Heading into Saturday night in red-hot form including a .348 expected average and a 28.6% barrel rate, Arizona's slugging first baseman has an ideal opportunity to continue his early momentum versus Austin Gomber.

Coming off a 2023 season displaying a proven track record to mash left-handed pitching including an impressive 141 wRC+ (41% above average) and a .574 slugging percentage, Walker can be counted on to record a potential extra base hit against a pitcher he has mashed in 11 career at-bats with 2 home runs and a .327 expected average.

When considering his impressive history in this matchup and Walker's ability to counter Gomber's heavy ground-ball rate )48.6% fly-ball percentage), there are plenty of reasons to back the Diamondbacks' cleanup hitter on Saturday night.

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani to Record 2+ Bases (-145)
Los Angeles Dodgers Over 4.5 Runs (-132)

Despite recent controversy surrounding his off-field life, the Dodgers MVP candidate Shohei Ohtani has settled in with his new team, recording a .475 expected average and 46% hard-hit rate.

With Lance Lynn's main trouble occurring against left-handed bats with a 5.16 xFIP and a .384 expected wOBA in this split last season, Ohtani profiles extremely well on Saturday night versus a pitcher he has racked up plenty of production against -- including 3 home runs and a .377 expected average in 23 career at-bats.

In addition to Ohtani with five other left-handed bats slotted in the Dodgers' intimidating lineup, Los Angeles' offense as a collective unit has a great opportunity to score five or more runs with numberFire's models expecting MLB's top hitting team to reach 5.19 runs at a median.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.