Mississippi State vs Missouri Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 1

SEC play on Saturday will see the the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-5, 4-4 SEC) host the No. 20 Missouri Tigers (16-4, 5-2 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, tipping off at 1:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Game time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Mississippi State vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mississippi State win (69.3%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Mississippi State-Missouri spread (Mississippi State -6.5) or over/under (148.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State has covered nine times in 21 chances against the spread this season.
• Missouri has won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover eight times.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Missouri is 3-0 against the spread compared to the 5-7 ATS record Mississippi State puts up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered four times in 10 games at home, and they've covered three times in six games on the road.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Tigers have a better winning percentage at home (.571, 8-6-0 record) than on the road (.500, 2-2-0).
• Mississippi State has two wins against the spread in conference play this year.
• Missouri has covered the spread six times in seven SEC games.

Mississippi State vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• The Bulldogs have a mark of 10-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -280 or better on the moneyline.
• Missouri has compiled a 2-4 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
• The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +225 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 73.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mississippi State vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State has a +219 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.4 points per game. It is putting up 80.8 points per game to rank 44th in college basketball and is giving up 70.4 per contest to rank 144th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State's leading scorer, Josh Hubbard, ranks 102nd in college basketball putting up 17.3 points per game.
• Missouri outscores opponents by 14.2 points per game (posting 83.2 points per game, 20th in college basketball, and giving up 69 per outing, 102nd in college basketball) and has a +284 scoring differential.
• Tamar Bates is ranked 457th in the country with a team-high 13.3 points per game.
• The Bulldogs record 36 rebounds per game (30th in college basketball) while allowing 32.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.7 boards per game.
• KeShawn Murphy paces the team with 7.1 rebounds per game (149th in college basketball action).
• The Tigers pull down 32.1 rebounds per game (195th in college basketball) while conceding 29.7 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Mark Mitchell paces the Tigers with 4.9 rebounds per game (645th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State's 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 70th in college basketball, and the 88.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 77th in college basketball.
• The Tigers average 105.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (15th in college basketball), and allow 87.8 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball).

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