Michigan vs Ohio State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (29-2, 19-1 Big Ten) will meet the No. 8 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (21-11, 12-8 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament Friday at United Center, beginning at 12 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Michigan vs. Ohio State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Game time: 12 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Big Ten Network
- Location: Chicago, Illinois
- Arena: United Center
Michigan vs. Ohio State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (74.8%)
Before you bet on Friday's Michigan-Ohio State spread (Michigan -12.5) or over/under (154.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.
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Michigan vs. Ohio State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Michigan has put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread this season.
- Ohio State is 17-15-0 ATS this year.
- Michigan (8-11) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 12.5 points or more this season (42.1%) than Ohio State (1-0) does as a 12.5+-point underdog (100%).
- The Wolverines have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered eight times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in 11 opportunities in road games.
- The Buckeyes have been better against the spread on the road (6-5-0) than at home (8-9-0) this year.
- Michigan has eight wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
- Ohio State has beaten the spread 12 times in 21 Big Ten games.
Michigan vs. Ohio State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Michigan has been victorious in 27, or 93.1%, of the 29 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Wolverines have come away with a win 17 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -1000 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Ohio State has a 3-9 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games).
- The Buckeyes have played as a moneyline underdog of +640 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
- Michigan has an implied victory probability of 90.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Michigan vs. Ohio State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Michigan put up 78 points per game and gave up 71.5 last year, making them 75th in college basketball on offense and 160th on defense.
- On the glass, Michigan was 34th in the nation in rebounds (35 per game) last season. It was 114th in rebounds allowed (30.2 per game).
- Michigan was 46th in the nation in assists (15.8 per game) last year.
- Last year, Michigan was 14th-worst in college basketball in turnovers committed (13.6 per game) and 240th in turnovers forced (10.6).
- With 78.8 points per game on offense, Ohio State was 58th in college basketball last season. At the other end, it ceded 73.5 points per contest, which ranked 225th in college basketball.
- Last season Ohio State averaged 30.2 rebounds per game (287th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 30.7 rebounds per contest (147th-ranked).
- Ohio State averaged 13.1 assists per game, which ranked them 214th in college basketball.
- Ohio State averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (98th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while forcing 11.3 turnovers per contest (176th-ranked).
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