Florida vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (25-6, 16-2 SEC) and the No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-12, 10-8 SEC) will look to move on in the SEC tournament on Friday as they meet at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Florida vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (75.6%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Friday's Florida-Kentucky spread (Florida -11.5) or over/under (160.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Florida vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Kentucky has compiled a 16-17-0 record against the spread this year.
• Florida covers the spread when it is an 11.5-point favorite or more 37.5% of the time. That's less often than Kentucky covers as an underdog of 11.5 or more (100%).
• The Gators have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 15 games at home, and they've covered nine times in 10 games on the road.
• The Wildcats have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (9-9-0 record) and away (5-5-0) this season.
• Florida has covered the spread 14 times in 18 conference games.
• Kentucky has beaten the spread 10 times in 20 SEC games.

Florida vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been victorious in 21, or 84%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Gators have been victorious 10 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -719 or better on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has won two of the 10 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (20%).
• The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +500 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida has a 87.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Florida vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida is outscoring opponents by 16 points per game with a +497 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.7 points per game (11th in college basketball) and gives up 71.7 per contest (116th in college basketball).
• Thomas Haugh is 139th in the country with a team-leading 17.2 points per game.
• Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game, with a +244 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81.3 points per game (62nd in college basketball) and allows 73.9 per outing (183rd in college basketball).
• Otega Oweh is ranked 77th in college basketball with a team-high 18.4 points per game.
• The Gators prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 15.3 boards. They are collecting 42.4 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.1 per outing.
• Rueben Chinyelu's 11.7 rebounds per game lead the Gators and rank second in college basketball action.
• The 34.1 rebounds per game the Wildcats accumulate rank 72nd in college basketball, 3.6 more than the 30.5 their opponents record.
• Malachi Moreno paces the Wildcats with 6.4 rebounds per game (232nd in college basketball).
• Florida ranks 34th in college basketball by averaging 105.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 18th in college basketball, allowing 86.1 points per 100 possessions.
• The Wildcats average 103.1 points per 100 possessions (62nd in college basketball), while giving up 93.7 points per 100 possessions (136th in college basketball).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!