Michigan State vs Toledo College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 16

The Toledo Rockets (5-5) play the Michigan State Spartans (9-1) at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on December 16, 2025.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Check out the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Tuesday's Michigan State-Toledo spread (Michigan State -22.5) or over/under (151.5 points).

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Michigan State vs. Toledo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has compiled a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season.
• Toledo has covered four times in nine chances against the spread this season.
• Against the spread last season, the Spartans played worse at home, covering 10 times in 16 home games, and seven times in nine road games.
• The Rockets' winning percentage against the spread at home was .250 (3-9-0) last year. On the road, it was .600 (9-6-0).

Michigan State vs. Toledo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been named as the moneyline favorite seven times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Spartans have played as a favorite of -7692 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Toledo has won two of the four games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%).
• The Rockets have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +2200 or longer.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 98.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Toledo Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State is outscoring opponents by 14.4 points per game with a +144 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.5 points per game (203rd in college basketball) and allows 62.1 per outing (11th in college basketball).
• Jaxon Kohler's 13.8 points per game lead Michigan State and rank 409th in the country.
• Toledo puts up 82.6 points per game (90th in college basketball) while allowing 77.6 per outing (274th in college basketball). It has a +50 scoring differential and outscores opponents by five points per game.
• Sonny Wilson's team-leading 15.9 points per game rank him 201st in the nation.
• The Spartans grab 38.2 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while allowing 26.7 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 11.5 boards per game.
• Kohler averages 9.8 rebounds per game (ranking 19th in college basketball) to lead the Spartans.
• The 30.9 rebounds per game the Rockets accumulate rank 279th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 30.5.
• Sean Craig paces the team with 7.9 rebounds per game (85th in college basketball).
• Michigan State's 100.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 131st in college basketball, and the 81.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 21st in college basketball.
• The Rockets rank 95th in college basketball averaging 102.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 271st, allowing 96.1 points per 100 possessions.

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