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CasinoJust Steel: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction
The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.
Just Steel's 65 points ranked 12th on the Road to the Kentucky Derby for 2024.
Just Steel Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position
Just Steel's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 20-1 (+2000), tied for sixth-best in the field.
Just Steel drew post position 6.
Post | Horse | Trainer | Jockey | ML Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
| 2 | Sierra Leone | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione | 3-1 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez | 20-1 |
| 4 | Catching Freedom | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
| 5 | Catalytic | Saffie Joseph, Jr. | Jose Ortiz | 30-1 |
| 6 | Just Steel | D. Wayne Lukas | Keith Asmussen | 20-1 |
| 7 | Honor Marie | Whit Beckman | Ben Curtis | 20-1 |
Just Steel Horse Trainer and Jockey
Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas owns 14 Triple Crown victories, including four Kentucky Derby wins: 1988 (Winning Colors), 1995 (Thunder Gulch), 1996 (Grindstone), and 1999 (Charismatic).
This is Lukas' first Derby since 2018.
Jockey Keith Asmussen rides for the first time in the Kentucky Derby.
Just Steel Race History
Just Steel's 11 races are most of any horse in the Derby field, and nobody can match his 112 maximum Speed Score.
Speed Scores via Equibase.
Date | Track | Race | Finish | Equibase Speed Figure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/6/2024 | Keeneland | Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (Gr. 1) | 1 | 107 |
| 2/17/2024 | Fair Grounds | Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2) | 1 | 98 |
| 12/2/2023 | Aqueduct | Remsen Stakes (Gr. 2) | 2 | 99 |
| 11/4/2023 | Aqueduct | Maiden Special Weight | 1 | 89 |
Just Steel Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick
The hall-of-fame trainer angle is great, and Just Steel is the son of Justify.
While the 112 Speed Score at the Arkansas Derby to close out March is the only time in 11 races that Just Steel topped the 100 mark, no other horse in the field has ever surpassed a 112.
Though not as experienced as other jockeys, Asmussen got the best out of Just Steel, riding in that Arkansas Derby showing.
Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze Just Steel below:
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