Jets Hosting Dolphins on Black Friday: Spread and Moneyline Analysis

The full NFL schedule for the 2023 season will be released on Thursday, May 11th, but we were given insight into a brand new matchup a day early.

The New York Jets will host the Miami Dolphins the day after Thanksgiving in Week 12 on Amazon Prime Video.

And it should be a good one with a lot of playoff implications on the line and a presumed quarterback battle between Aaron Rodgers and Tua Tagovailoa.

Super Bowl Odds and Win Totals

The Jets are +1400 to win the Super Bowl, according to the Super Bowl odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. That ranks them tied for sixth in the NFL in championship probability. Miami's +2500 odds have them tied for 10th in the NFL.

However, each team has identical win total numbers at 9.5. The difference is with the odds attached. Miami is -110 to go over 9.5 wins, and the Jets are -134 to get over 9.5 victories.

Black Friday Betting Odds: Jets vs. Dolphins

Based on the NFL betting lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, the preseason odds for this Week 12 matchup favors the Jets, who are -134 to win outright (implying 57.3% odds) at home.

New York is favored by 2.5 points, as well.

Historically, teams with Super Bowl odds between +1200 and +1600 have a point differential of +3.88. Teams between +2300 and +2700 are at a +2.28.

Given the homefield advantage edge, the Jets are rightly favored.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.