Iowa vs Illinois College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 11

The Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3, 3-1 Big Ten) will attempt to build on a four-game win streak when they visit the Iowa Hawkeyes (12-3, 2-2 Big Ten) on January 11, 2026 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Iowa vs. Illinois Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Game time: 12 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FOX
- Location: Iowa City, Iowa
- Arena: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Iowa vs. Illinois Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa win (63.9%)
Here's a look at some betting trends for Iowa (-1.5) versus Illinois on Sunday. The over/under is set at 143.5 points for this game.
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Iowa vs. Illinois: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Iowa is 11-4-0 ATS this season.
- Illinois has compiled a 9-6-0 ATS record so far this season.
- As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Illinois is 1-1 against the spread compared to the 10-3 ATS record Iowa racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
- When playing at home last season, the Hawkeyes had a better record against the spread (7-11-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (3-7-0).
- The Fighting Illini's winning percentage against the spread at home last year was .588 (10-7-0). Away, it was .500 (5-5-0).
- Iowa has won twice against the spread in conference play this year.
- Illinois has two Big Ten wins against the spread this season.
Iowa vs. Illinois: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Iowa has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (90%) in those games.
- The Hawkeyes have a mark of 9-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
- Illinois has been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it split the games.
- The Fighting Illini have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Iowa has a 54.5% chance of pulling out a win.
Iowa vs. Illinois Head-to-Head Comparison
- Iowa was the 16th-best squad in the country in points scored (82.5 per game) but 16th-worst in points allowed (79.7) last year.
- On the boards, Iowa was 310th in the nation in rebounds (29.7 per game) last season. It was 21st-worst in rebounds conceded (34.4 per game).
- With 18.3 assists per game, Iowa was third-best in the nation last season.
- In terms of turnovers, Iowa was 35th in the country in committing them (9.5 per game) last year. It was 112th in forcing them (12 per game).
- Illinois sported a top-25 offense last year, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 83.6 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranked 263rd with 74.8 points allowed per contest.
- Illinois allowed 30.1 rebounds per game last season (104th-ranked in college basketball), but it thrived by grabbing 39.7 rebounds per contest (best).
- Last season Illinois ranked 83rd in college basketball in assists, averaging 14.9 per game.
- Illinois, who ranked 215th in college basketball with 11.4 turnovers per game, forced 8.5 turnovers per contest, which was second-worst in the nation.
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