Iowa State vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 21

The Iowa State Cyclones (15-2, 5-1 Big 12) will look to build on an eight-game home winning streak when they square off against the UCF Knights (12-5, 3-3 Big 12) on January 21, 2025 at James H. Hilton Coliseum.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Game time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Ames, Iowa
• Arena: James H. Hilton Coliseum

Iowa State vs. UCF Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (91.8%)

Before placing a wager on Tuesday's Iowa State-UCF spread (Iowa State -15.5) or over/under (154.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.

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Iowa State vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has put together an 11-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UCF is 9-8-0 ATS this year.
• Iowa State covers the spread when it is a 15.5-point favorite or more 42.9% of the time. That's less often than UCF covers as an underdog of 15.5 or more (100%).
• In home games, the Cyclones own a worse record against the spread (6-4-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-1-0).
• The Knights' winning percentage against the spread at home last year was .667 (12-6-0). On the road, it was .600 (6-4-0).
• Iowa State has six wins against the spread in seven conference games this year.
• Against the spread in Big 12 action, UCF is 4-2-0 this year.

Iowa State vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has come away with nine wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cyclones have been listed as a favorite of -1786 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• UCF has been the moneyline underdog seven total times this season. UCF has gone 3-4 in those games.
• The Knights have played as a moneyline underdog of +920 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• Iowa State has an implied victory probability of 94.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Iowa State vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State averages 83.8 points per game (22nd in college basketball) while allowing 65.2 per contest (35th in college basketball). It has a +315 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 18.6 points per game.
• Curtis Jones leads Iowa State, scoring 17.8 points per game (73rd in the country).
• UCF's +26 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.9 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while allowing 77.4 per contest (313th in college basketball).
• UCF's leading scorer, Keyshawn Hall, is 111th in college basketball, averaging 16.9 points per game.
• The Cyclones are 88th in the nation at 34.4 rebounds per game. That's 6.5 more than the 27.9 their opponents average.
• Joshua Jefferson is 57th in college basketball action with 8.3 rebounds per game to lead the Cyclones.
• The Knights are 163rd in college basketball at 32.8 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 33.5 their opponents average.
• Hall averages 6.8 rebounds per game (191st in college basketball) to lead the Knights.
• Iowa State's 105.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in college basketball, and the 82.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 17th in college basketball.
• The Knights rank 220th in college basketball with 94 points scored per 100 possessions, and 194th defensively with 92.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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