Illinois vs Wisconsin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 10

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-4, 11-2 Big Ten) will host the Wisconsin Badgers (16-7, 8-4 Big Ten) after winning six home games in a row.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: Champaign, Illinois
- Arena: State Farm Center
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (84.6%)
Before making an informed wager on Illinois-Wisconsin matchup (in which Illinois is an 11.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 155.5 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Tuesday's game.
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Illinois vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Illinois has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
- Wisconsin has won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
- Illinois covers the spread when it is an 11.5-point favorite or more 53.8% of the time. That's less often than Wisconsin covers as an underdog of 11.5 or more (100%).
- The Fighting Illini have done a better job covering the spread in away games (5-2-0) than they have at home (8-5-0).
- The Badgers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .429 (6-8-0). On the road, it is .800 (4-1-0).
- Illinois is 8-5-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
- Wisconsin's Big Ten record against the spread is 7-5-0.
Illinois vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Illinois has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (86.7%) in those games.
- The Fighting Illini have been a -877 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
- Wisconsin has been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. Wisconsin has finished 1-4 in those games.
- The Badgers have played as a moneyline underdog of +580 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 89.8% chance of pulling out a win.
Illinois vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison
- Illinois averages 84.5 points per game (29th in college basketball) while giving up 67.9 per contest (45th in college basketball). It has a +398 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 16.6 points per game.
- Keaton Wagler's team-leading 17.8 points per game ranks 94th in college basketball.
- Wisconsin puts up 83 points per game (49th in college basketball) while allowing 75.2 per contest (229th in college basketball). It has a +179 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game.
- Nicholas Boyd's 20 points per game paces Wisconsin and ranks 31st in the nation.
- The 38.5 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini average rank sixth in the nation, and are 10.5 more than the 28 their opponents record per contest.
- David Mirkovic leads the team with 8.1 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball play).
- The 33.2 rebounds per game the Badgers accumulate rank 126th in the nation, 2.4 more than the 30.8 their opponents grab.
- Nolan Winter paces the team with 8.8 rebounds per game (41st in college basketball).
- Illinois ranks 12th in college basketball with 109.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 48th in college basketball defensively with 88.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Badgers rank 30th in college basketball with 105.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 223rd defensively with 95.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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