Illinois vs USC Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 11

The Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3, 4-1 Big Ten) will attempt to extend a five-game win streak when they host the USC Trojans (9-6, 1-3 Big Ten) on January 11, 2025 at State Farm Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. USC Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Game time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. USC Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (90.2%)

Illinois is a 13.5-point favorite over USC on Saturday and the over/under is set at 153.5 points. Here are a few betting insights and trends before you place a wager on the outing.

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Illinois vs. USC: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has put together an 8-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• USC has compiled a 5-10-0 ATS record so far this season.
• The Fighting Illini covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games last season. They covered nine times in 18 games at home, and they covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• The Trojans performed better against the spread on the road (6-6-0) than at home (7-8-0) last year.
• Illinois has posted two wins against the spread in conference games this year.
• USC has won once against the spread in Big Ten action this year.

Illinois vs. USC: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has won in eight of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Fighting Illini have been a -1053 moneyline favorite on three occasions this season and won every game.
• USC has won 16.7% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (1-5).
• The Trojans have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +640 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 91.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Illinois vs. USC Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois averages 87.9 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 66.2 per outing (56th in college basketball). It has a +325 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 21.7 points per game.
• Kasparas Jakucionis is 146th in college basketball with a team-high 16.4 points per game.
• USC's +80 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.7 points per game (169th in college basketball) while allowing 70.4 per contest (154th in college basketball).
• Desmond Claude's team-leading 14.9 points per game rank him 270th in the nation.
• The 42.5 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini average rank second in college basketball, and are 13.6 more than the 28.9 their opponents pull down per outing.
• Tomislav Ivisic's nine rebounds per game lead the Fighting Illini and rank 29th in college basketball play.
• The 29.3 rebounds per game the Trojans accumulate rank 332nd in college basketball. Their opponents collect 29.1.
• Saint Thomas averages 5.9 rebounds per game (346th in college basketball) to lead the Trojans.
• Illinois' 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 30th in college basketball, and the 79.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.
• The Trojans rank 117th in college basketball averaging 98.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 202nd, allowing 92 points per 100 possessions.

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