NZ - Waverley - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

9.9K

VIEW

Verdict

HOLLABACK GIRL (9) set the pace and fought on gamely to finish second at Otaki a fortnight ago. She loves heavy ground, and she should go close to taking them all the way here. MALLEABLE (1) bounced back into form with a game third at Ruakaka nearly 2 weeks ago when only beaten by a head. He seems to prefer some slightly firmer ground, and even from a wide gate, he can figure in the top 3 again. WAVE (10) is a progressive mare who has continued to improve in each of his 3 starts to date. The step up to 1 m will suit her, and she is good enough to win a race at short notice. JILLY OCEAN (12) was a late scratching when set to make her debut earlier in the month, and she has trialled well for stewards since then. The market will again be our best guide. HILL BILLY (2) is a lightly tried 6YO gelding resuming from a spell after making his debut last spring. He has had the benefit of a trial last month, and could be one to add some value to any top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Form hard to fault. At the latest run led but faded 2nd of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Kyanite Man carrying 122lbs at $7.50. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on June 24 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Go Joanna carrying 118lbs at $30.70. Perfectly placed to get off the mark. 1st Pick 9 Hollaback Girl Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Shane Crawford J: Amber Riddell T: Shane Crawford	148	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run led but faded 2nd of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Kyanite Man carrying 122lbs at $7.50. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on June 24 over 7 ½f, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Go Joanna carrying 118lbs at $30.70. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.
1	At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Ruakaka on July 11 over 1m, slow going neck behind Azamira carrying 129lbs at $6.90. The race before that ran last of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on June 12 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Jake carrying 125lbs at $7. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 1 Malleable Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Ralph Manning J: Kelly Myers T: Ralph Manning	158	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Ruakaka on July 11 over 1m, slow going neck behind Azamira carrying 129lbs at $6.90. The race before that ran last of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on June 12 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Jake carrying 125lbs at $7. Will take plenty of beating.
10	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on July 4 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Go Trigger with 125lbs at $9.60. Before that 4th of 10 at Woodville on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Aliyana Belle carrying 125lbs at $23.50. Ready to open her account this time. 3rd Pick 10 Wave Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos J: Elen Nicholas T: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on July 4 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Go Trigger with 125lbs at $9.60. Before that 4th of 10 at Woodville on June 19 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Aliyana Belle carrying 125lbs at $23.50. Ready to open her account this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race