NZ - Waverley - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

9.9K

VIEW

Verdict

DANJURO (2) set the pace and gave a good kick in the run home before finishing third and just over a length from the winner, following on from a nose defeat at Woodville. Jonathan Riddell will be back in the saddle, and he is the one to beat for us. KWANZA (6) fought on gamely for fourth at Te Rapa nearly 3 weeks ago in a field that was probably stronger than what he meets here. He is at his best on heavy ground, and he is nicely placed to take this out. DRESSE' PAR JOLI (9) did not fire second up at Hawera over 1m last start, and she will relish getting out to a middle distance for the first time this prep. She is peaking at the right time, and she is ready now to put her best hoof forward. Each-way value. GALLANT HERO (4) has yet to fire in 4 starts this prep, and he will cop a wide gate for this. We are still expecting a form reversal, so don't drop him yet.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 1.1 len behind Another Won't Hurt with 123lbs at $4.10. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, nose behind Stella Success carrying 121lbs at $10.60. One of the better top 4 hopes. 1st Pick 2 Danjuro Jockey: Jonathan Riddell Trainer: Peter And Trent Didham J: Jonathan Riddell T: Peter And Trent Didham	136	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 1.1 len behind Another Won't Hurt with 123lbs at $4.10. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, nose behind Stella Success carrying 121lbs at $10.60. One of the better top 4 hopes.
6	At the latest run 4th of 10 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 2 len behind Notabadspillane with 117lbs at $4.90. Before that 8th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Boxmoss carrying 123lbs at $16.90. Can improve enough to take this out. 2nd Pick 6 Kwanza Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal J: Amber Riddell T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal	68	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 10 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 ½m, in the wet, 2 len behind Notabadspillane with 117lbs at $4.90. Before that 8th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Boxmoss carrying 123lbs at $16.90. Can improve enough to take this out.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Metaverse carrying 116lbs at $12.90. Second-up ran last of 7 at Hawera on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Wheelitin carrying 110lbs at $12.70. Will be peaking third up, and a form reversal is expected. 3rd Pick 9 Dresse' Par Joli Jockey: Lisa Allpress Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Lisa Allpress T: Allan Sharrock	100	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Metaverse carrying 116lbs at $12.90. Second-up ran last of 7 at Hawera on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Wheelitin carrying 110lbs at $12.70. Will be peaking third up, and a form reversal is expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.