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2:33 AM

NZ - Waverley - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
10.9f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
9.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SATOMI (2) found the finish line with a lot of purpose at Te Rapa nearly 3 weeks ago when finishing fifth and just over a length from the winner that day. He needs the ground to be heavy, and with conditions to suit him, he should be hard to hold out. EARLY TIMES (1) battled away late when finishing a well-beaten second at Woodville 12 days ago over 1m. The extra 3f is what he is looking for, and his first win should not be too far away. OUR BOY ARCHIE (5) battled away well at Otaki last start despite being hampered by a fallen runner during that race. He is good enough to win a race like this, so stick with him. JIM DANDY (8) motored home late at Otaki fresh up from a spell when losing his place at the top of the straight. Both horse and rider would have learned a lot from that recent outing, and they get their chance to set the record straight in this. Each-way value. LUCKYTOBEHERE (12) battled on gamely after leading at Awapuni-synthetic last week. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Satomi silk

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 4th of 14 at Woodville on June 19 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Derryman with 129lbs at $7.10. Rates highly and is right in the mix again.

1st Pick
2

Satomi

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

J: Amber Riddell

T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal

112---27%11/4

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 4th of 14 at Woodville on June 19 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Derryman with 129lbs at $7.10. Rates highly and is right in the mix again.

1
Early Times silk

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 12 at Hawera on May 17 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind The Black Prince carrying 129lbs at $5.10. Last start 2nd of 12 at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Bak De Ace with 150lbs at $4.60. In a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
1

Early Times

Jockey: Kelly Myers

Trainer: Kayla Macnab

J: Kelly Myers

T: Kayla Macnab

93---27%11/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 8th of 12 at Hawera on May 17 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind The Black Prince carrying 129lbs at $5.10. Last start 2nd of 12 at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Bak De Ace with 150lbs at $4.60. In a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish.

5
Our Boy Archie silk

Most recently 4th of 8 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 19 len behind Beavertown Lass carrying 129lbs at $7. Before that ran last of 13 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 13 len behind On Shaw with 129lbs at $16.30. Capable of sharp improvement.

3rd Pick
5

Our Boy Archie

Jockey: Chris Dell

Trainer: K R Hercock

J: Chris Dell

T: K R Hercock

55---5%20/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 8 at Otaki on July 10 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 19 len behind Beavertown Lass carrying 129lbs at $7. Before that ran last of 13 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 13 len behind On Shaw with 129lbs at $16.30. Capable of sharp improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.