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12:48 midnight

NZ - Waverley - Race 2

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
9.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LACEY LUCK (2) did herself no favours by missing the kick at New Plymouth 6 days ago, and assuming she can cope with the quick backup, she would only have to begin evenly to be a winning threat in this. BRUTIFUL LASS (1) tried hard when finishing second by half-a-length at Otaki on a heavy track there a fortnight ago. She is long overdue for a win, and she can get the job done here. STAR DONNA (3) caught the eye with a strong finishing third on debut off a slow pace. She handles bad ground with no trouble, and with some natural improvement second up, she will be hard to hold out. FLEURS STAR (5) makes her debut from the powerful Allan Sharrock stable who would have had her competing at the local jump-outs held in the Taranaki region. Follow the market leads. AFFAIRE D'AMOUR (4) has won 2 of her 3 public trials, and her last couple have been over 4f. She is bred to want more ground, but in this field, she can make a winning debut.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Lacey Luck silk

Most recently 5th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Bokushi with 120lbs at $7.40. The start before that led but faded 2nd of 9 at this track on July 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Guzzler carrying 120lbs at $20.40. Hard to beat on her best form.

1st Pick
2

Lacey Luck

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Gavin Sharrock

J: Floor Moerman

T: Gavin Sharrock

72---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Bokushi with 120lbs at $7.40. The start before that led but faded 2nd of 9 at this track on July 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Guzzler carrying 120lbs at $20.40. Hard to beat on her best form.

1
Brutiful Lass silk

Most recently 2nd of 10 at Otaki on July 10 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Yaldy Time carrying 125lbs at $8.30. The race before that 9th of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 7f, in the wet, 6 len behind Feint To East carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
1

Brutiful Lass

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Lisa Latta

J: George Rooke

T: Lisa Latta

79---35%15/8

Analysis

Most recently 2nd of 10 at Otaki on July 10 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Yaldy Time carrying 125lbs at $8.30. The race before that 9th of 13 at Woodville on June 19 over 7f, in the wet, 6 len behind Feint To East carrying 125lbs at $3.10. Expected to feature.

3
Star Donna silk

At debut, came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Otaki on July 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Yaldy Time with 120lbs at $23.10. One of the main top 3 chances.

3rd Pick
3

Star Donna

Jockey: Hayley Hassman

Trainer: Buddy Lammas

J: Hayley Hassman

T: Buddy Lammas

78---14%13/2

Analysis

At debut, came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Otaki on July 10 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Yaldy Time with 120lbs at $23.10. One of the main top 3 chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.