NZ - Waverley - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MARVIE (11) set a strong clip up front at Whanganui last start before fighting on and finishing fourth as the favourite, just under 2 lengths from the winner. She has a better gate here, and the field is not that strong. Craig Grylls sticks with her, and so do we. CHELSEA ROSE (8) has improved this season and has been heading the right way with her form, finishing runner-up as a loose favourite at Otaki nearly 3 weeks ago. She has had a couple of gear changes since then, and can go one better. NED KELLY (6) had needed his racing for experience, and was much better when finishing runner-up at Whanganui 9 days ago. He has a superior gate this time, and he will be hard to hold out, especially on a wet track. JUSTKO PRINCE (2) needed his fresh-up run over 1 ¼m at Tauherenikau nearly 4 weeks ago, and he is well worth including in all combos here. VANRIO (1) was beaten by a wide gate at Otaki last start, and he can improve in this. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 14 at Wanganui on January 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Damiano carrying 125lbs at $3.20. The start before that 4th of 14 at Otaki on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 3 len behind Tokyodome carrying 122lbs at $7.20. In the mix again. 1st Pick 11 Marvie Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: J J Rayner J: Leah Hemi T: J J Rayner	98	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 14 at Wanganui on January 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Damiano carrying 125lbs at $3.20. The start before that 4th of 14 at Otaki on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 3 len behind Tokyodome carrying 122lbs at $7.20. In the mix again.
8	Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Otaki on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 0.6 len behind Tokyodome with 125lbs at $5.30. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Otaki on December 19 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Vickezzmargaux with 125lbs at $7.60. Rates highly after a strong run last time. 2nd Pick 8 Chelsea Rose Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Samantha Collett T: Lisa Latta	152	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Otaki on January 9 over 1 5/16m, 0.6 len behind Tokyodome with 125lbs at $5.30. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Otaki on December 19 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Vickezzmargaux with 125lbs at $7.60. Rates highly after a strong run last time.
6	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Wanganui on January 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.8 len behind Damiano with 119lbs at $14.80. Before that 4th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 31 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind French Thinker with 126lbs at $4.60. Working up to a win. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 6 Ned Kelly Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: John Wheeler J: Kelly Myers T: John Wheeler	149	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Wanganui on January 19 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.8 len behind Damiano with 119lbs at $14.80. Before that 4th of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 31 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 15 len behind French Thinker with 126lbs at $4.60. Working up to a win. Will take plenty of beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.