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4:24 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 10

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
20.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SENSE OF TIMING (7) fought on gamely for fourth when moving into the race nicely and peaking late at Otaki 4 weeks ago. She will be spot on with her fitness third up, and is the one to beat in this. ERIN GO BRAGH (4) needed his resuming run at Ellerslie when finishing sixth as the favourite, and then was beaten by a nose here a fortnight ago. He benefits from a 4lbs claim and is set to go one better here. RIBKRAKA (5) caught the eye with a big late finish for sixth here 2 weeks ago, and he will relish the extra 1f on offer here. With a big swing in his draw third up, he can figure in the top 3. RENOVATIONS (6) battled away gamely as the favourite when finishing third at Otaki 4 weeks ago, and she will continue to progress with more racing. A wide gate at this time of the day may not be a bad thing, and she is worth each-way consideration again. COSMOPOLITAN (14) is a promising filly who just got up in a tight go here nearly 3 weeks ago. A wide gate is no help, but stick with her.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Sense Of Timing silk

Third-up today. First-up second last of 14 at this track on April 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Part Time Lover carrying 127lbs at $19.80. Last start 4th of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Dollybird with 122lbs at $8.20. Looks ready to win.

1st Pick
7

Sense Of Timing

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

115---9%11/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up second last of 14 at this track on April 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Part Time Lover carrying 127lbs at $19.80. Last start 4th of 12 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Dollybird with 122lbs at $8.20. Looks ready to win.

4
Erin Go Bragh silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Grinzinger Moon with 126lbs at $3.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at this track on May 30 over 6f, slow going nose behind Moneypenny with 125lbs at $6.30. Fitter now and making headway. Leading hope this time.

2nd Pick
4

Erin Go Bragh

Jockey: Sam Mcnab

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Sam Mcnab

T: Stephen Marsh

68---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Grinzinger Moon with 126lbs at $3.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at this track on May 30 over 6f, slow going nose behind Moneypenny with 125lbs at $6.30. Fitter now and making headway. Leading hope this time.

5
Ribkraka silk

Third-up today. First-up 12th of 14 at this track on April 25 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Part Time Lover carrying 121lbs at $25.10. Second-up 6th of 13 at this track on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny with 126lbs at $38.20. Great chance to atone.

3rd Pick
5

Ribkraka

Jockey: Erin M Leighton

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Erin M Leighton

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

91---6%16/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 12th of 14 at this track on April 25 over 6f, slow going 5.5 len behind Part Time Lover carrying 121lbs at $25.10. Second-up 6th of 13 at this track on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny with 126lbs at $38.20. Great chance to atone.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.