Korea Busan - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Handicap

Sand

33.9K

VIEW

Verdict

DELTA FORCE (8) resumes as the one to beat on the strength of a tidy five-start profile at this track, including a COND A win by six lengths from Kiss The Rain and a closing fourth when last seen, beaten four lengths by Wild Real. BACK TO THE DREAM (6) brings the more recent race fitness, having been second two runs back before a fourth at this venue where she loomed and did not quite finish off, her track and distance profile keeps her right in the contest. SEOGWI GREAT (3) has to rebound from a plain sixth at Yeongcheon, but her previous win at this track by two and a half lengths from Nineteen Nine Won reads strongly and the winning rider is back aboard. MAGIC SHOW (4) is still a maiden after 15 starts, which caps the confidence, but her sequence of placings and latest second to Brown Choco give her a genuine place-and-upside profile if she brings the same finish back to 7f.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Returns from a lengthy six-month spell with the strongest winning case, having ended last campaign with a closing fourth at this track behind Wild Real after giving away ground. He had earlier won a COND A here by six lengths from Kiss The Rain as a short odds-on favourite, and his overall track record is sound. Fresh, but his best form gives him the race to win. 1st Pick 8 Delta Force Jockey: Choi Si Dae Trainer: Min Jang Gi J: Choi Si Dae T: Min Jang Gi	79	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy six-month spell with the strongest winning case, having ended last campaign with a closing fourth at this track behind Wild Real after giving away ground. He had earlier won a COND A here by six lengths from Kiss The Rain as a short odds-on favourite, and his overall track record is sound. Fresh, but his best form gives him the race to win.
6	Returns from a six-week let-up with the right recent grounding, having run second at this track before a fourth behind Pilseung Winner when near the top of betting. She travelled into that latest race but did not go on with it, which is the one point to address. Her 7f record and overall consistency at this venue still make her a strong winning hope. 2nd Pick 6 Back To The Dream Jockey: Song Keong Yun Trainer: Son Byeongchul J: Song Keong Yun T: Son Byeongchul	92	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a six-week let-up with the right recent grounding, having run second at this track before a fourth behind Pilseung Winner when near the top of betting. She travelled into that latest race but did not go on with it, which is the one point to address. Her 7f record and overall consistency at this venue still make her a strong winning hope.
3	Had every chance at Yeongcheon last start when sixth, beaten just under eight lengths by Best Tiger after lacking a change of gears. The run prior is the key: she let down quickly at this track and beat Nineteen Nine Won by two and a half lengths. With two wins from five at this venue and the winning rider back, she can bounce back strongly. 3rd Pick 3 Seogwi Great Jockey: Jin Kyum Trainer: Kang Hyoung Gon J: Jin Kyum T: Kang Hyoung Gon	109	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Had every chance at Yeongcheon last start when sixth, beaten just under eight lengths by Best Tiger after lacking a change of gears. The run prior is the key: she let down quickly at this track and beat Nineteen Nine Won by two and a half lengths. With two wins from five at this venue and the winning rider back, she can bounce back strongly.

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A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

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