AU - Strathalbyn - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MORLAIX (5) is close to breaking through after two consecutive placings, the latest coming when second over this track and trip. Finds a suitable race and can make it to the winner's circle. LOCA BELLA (7) has a moderate winning strike-rate but performed well last time at Gawler, finishing fourth. Has started two times at this course and distance and is yet to miss the placings. No reason she cannot find winning ways. FLYWAY (4) made a strong late bid only to just miss last start at Gawler. In the right race and is a key runner. CHARTIN (14) knuckled down strongly to get within a nose of the winner in second last start at Balaklava when resuming. Johnstone sticks and has built a good association. Gets his chance to break a long run of outs. CRADLE OF JAZZ (11) only warmed late here first-up when nabbing fourth. Better for that, though will likely drift a long way back from the draw. Watch for her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm56 on May 17 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Affaire Vue with 127lbs at $3.30. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Gawler Bm58 on May 13 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Maxildo with 125lbs at $4.40. Capable enough on her day and is a key runner. 1st Pick 5 Morlaix Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Stuart Padman J: Rochelle Milnes T: Stuart Padman	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm56 on May 17 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Affaire Vue with 127lbs at $3.30. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Gawler Bm58 on May 13 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Maxildo with 125lbs at $4.40. Capable enough on her day and is a key runner.
7	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 8 at Gawler Bm58 on May 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind France's Boy carrying 125lbs at $4. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 127lbs at $5. Not far away last time. One of the major hopes. 2nd Pick 7 Loca Bella Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Andrew Gluyas J: Jason Holder T: Andrew Gluyas	116	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 8 at Gawler Bm58 on May 27 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind France's Boy carrying 125lbs at $4. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Mr Trafficanti with 127lbs at $5. Not far away last time. One of the major hopes.
4	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Gawler Bm58 on May 27 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind France's Boy carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The run before that raced on the pace before fading ran last of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 12 len behind Mr Trafficanti carrying 127lbs at $8. Among the leading chances. 3rd Pick 4 Flyway Jockey: Dom Tourneur Trainer: Chris Bieg J: Dom Tourneur T: Chris Bieg	112	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Gawler Bm58 on May 27 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind France's Boy carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The run before that raced on the pace before fading ran last of 12 at Gawler 0-56 on May 13 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 12 len behind Mr Trafficanti carrying 127lbs at $8. Among the leading chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.