AU - Port Augusta - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

7.4f

Benchmark

Dirt

GOOD

13.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HUBRISTIC (6) got the prize two runs ago at this track. Jumped well from wide out last time and pressed forward but was no match in the end for the in-form Star Casino over 7 ½f. Well placed here from a low draw and there is no reason she cannot make amends. BAD TO THE BONE (2) was comfortably accounted for when fourth last start over 5 ½f at this track, beaten 7 lengths. That followed a good first-up win at this track. Should be at peak fitness now and will go close. HAMILTON BROWN (5) has been out of the winner's list for a long time, last start finishing fifth at this track over 7f. Hard to beat on best figures. SENGOKI (4) has ability and is a top-three hope. VALOR BOUND (3) shouldn't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at this track Bm56 on July 5 over 7 ½f, 7 len behind Star Casino carrying 122lbs at $6. The start before that won by 0.5 len at this track 0-52 June 21 over 7f defeating Duck Duck Duck with 122lbs at $7.50. Tough to beat on best form. 1st Pick 6 Hubristic Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Stacey Metcalfe T: Garret Lynch	143	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at this track Bm56 on July 5 over 7 ½f, 7 len behind Star Casino carrying 122lbs at $6. The start before that won by 0.5 len at this track 0-52 June 21 over 7f defeating Duck Duck Duck with 122lbs at $7.50. Tough to beat on best form.
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by a neck at this track 0-52 June 21 over 5 ½f defeating My Truth with 118lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at this track 0-52 on July 5 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Samanth with 123lbs at $7. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance. 2nd Pick 2 Bad To The Bone Jockey: Ashlee Stone Trainer: Bill Bogarts J: Ashlee Stone T: Bill Bogarts	112	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by a neck at this track 0-52 June 21 over 5 ½f defeating My Truth with 118lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 4th of 12 at this track 0-52 on July 5 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Samanth with 123lbs at $7. Should be at peak fitness now and is a winning chance.
5	Most recently 5th of 10 at this track Cl1 on July 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Sengoki with 121lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 8 at Hawker 0-52 on May 30 over 7f, nose behind Bywaters Road carrying 130lbs at $9. Capable of sharp improvement. 3rd Pick 5 Hamilton Brown Jockey: Tala Hutchinson Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Tala Hutchinson T: Garret Lynch	130	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently 5th of 10 at this track Cl1 on July 5 over 7f, 6 len behind Sengoki with 121lbs at $8. The run before that 2nd of 8 at Hawker 0-52 on May 30 over 7f, nose behind Bywaters Road carrying 130lbs at $9. Capable of sharp improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.