AU - Naracoorte - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

13.7K

VIEW

Verdict

THERMODYNAMIC (3) led and looked a chance but was overwhelmed close to home last start over a similar trip to this at Penola. Will roll forward again and if Cameron Rawiller can pinch a cheap sectional somewhere he might not be caught. CAUSEWELUVADELAIDE (12) booted up to sit second after an awkward start then gave plenty but found the winner a little too good recently over 7f at Penola. Scored a big win over a similar trip to this third-up last prep. Has a nice sense of timing about this placement. EXTINGUISH (5) has been going around in better races can improve back to a trip where she owns a good record. ORLOVA (2) finds a suitable first-up assignment and was readied with two trials so keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 in a Bm68 at Penola on October 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Piwhane carrying 129lbs at $3.30. The start before that did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 in a Bm72 at Murray Bridge on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind You Sexy Thing with 126lbs at $26. Will go forward and prove very tough to catch. 1st Pick 3 Thermodynamic Jockey: Campbell Rawiller Trainer: Nicole Irwin J: Campbell Rawiller T: Nicole Irwin	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 in a Bm68 at Penola on October 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Piwhane carrying 129lbs at $3.30. The start before that did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 in a Bm72 at Murray Bridge on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind You Sexy Thing with 126lbs at $26. Will go forward and prove very tough to catch.
6	Last start 9th of 12 in a Bm70 at Horsham on October 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Naraghi carrying 125lbs at $21. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4 len in a Bm66 at Mt Gambier on October 7 over 7f in soft going defeating Min Kiata carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Worth another chance back in this more suitable race. 2nd Pick 6 Stargust Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Joanne Mugavin J: Non Runner T: Joanne Mugavin	92	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 9th of 12 in a Bm70 at Horsham on October 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Naraghi carrying 125lbs at $21. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4 len in a Bm66 at Mt Gambier on October 7 over 7f in soft going defeating Min Kiata carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Worth another chance back in this more suitable race.
12	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in a Bm62 at Mildura on October 6 over 7f, 6 len behind Limbering with 126lbs at $6.50. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm68 at Penola on October 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Piwhane carrying 119lbs at $10. Cherry ripe at the third run back and is expected to go well again. 3rd Pick 12 Causeweluvadelaide Jockey: Margaret Collett Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Margaret Collett T: Sarah Rutten	115	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in a Bm62 at Mildura on October 6 over 7f, 6 len behind Limbering with 126lbs at $6.50. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm68 at Penola on October 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Piwhane carrying 119lbs at $10. Cherry ripe at the third run back and is expected to go well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.